Welcome to Going Deep! This weekly article will make use of charting data, advanced metrics, and other RotoViz tools — specifically the Passing Game Matchup Rater — to help readers better understand the challenges facing wide receivers and tight ends in the coming week. As my process makes heavy use of the Matchup Rater, I’d highly recommend that you set aside half an hour to watch the tutorial/walkthrough and take a spin through the tool. (Note that for 2024, the “Target Explorer” tab has been removed from the tool.)
This week’s Part 2 won’t be as in-depth as normal or written in paragraph format. Rather, for each matchup, I’ll include a bullet for each notable player and designate whether the matchup is strong, good, average, poor, or very poor based on my analysis.
Matchups
Tampa Bay
- Jalen McMillan – Average
- Rakim Jarret – Average
- Cade Otton – Given the expected uptick in usage, this is a good matchup for Otton.
Player | GMs | Tgt | Rec | Yards | TD | YPR | Tgt Shr | AirYards | AY/Tgt | Team % | WOPR |
Chris Godwin | 7 | 8.9 | 7.1 | 82.3 | 0.7 | 11.5 | 0.27 | 50.9 | 5.7 | 0.25 | 0.57 |
Mike Evans | 7 | 6.4 | 3.7 | 47.9 | 0.9 | 12.9 | 0.19 | 69.7 | 10.8 | 0.34 | 0.53 |
Cade Otton | 7 | 5.9 | 3.9 | 37.6 | 0.1 | 9.7 | 0.18 | 32.9 | 5.6 | 0.16 | 0.38 |
Rachaad White | 6 | 4.2 | 3.8 | 33 | 0.3 | 8.6 | 0.13 | -12.7 | -3 | -0.06 | 0.15 |
Jalen McMillan | 5 | 3 | 1.2 | 14.8 | 0.2 | 12.3 | 0.09 | 41.2 | 13.7 | 0.2 | 0.28 |
Sterling Shepard | 5 | 2.4 | 1.6 | 18.6 | 0.2 | 11.6 | 0.07 | 33 | 13.8 | 0.14 | 0.2 |
Kansas City
- Juju Smith-Schuster – Good
- DeAndre Hopkins – Good
- Xavier Worthy – Good
- This is a really solid matchup for all of the team’s WRs placing all into Flex consideration.
- Travis Kelce – Strong
Player | GMs | Tgt | Rec | Yards | TD | YPR | Tgt Shr | AirYards | AY/Tgt | Team % | WOPR |
Rashee Rice | 4 | 7.2 | 6 | 72 | 0.5 | 12 | 0.25 | 37.8 | 5.2 | 0.22 | 0.54 |
Travis Kelce | 6 | 6 | 4.7 | 40.8 | 0 | 8.8 | 0.21 | 40.8 | 6.8 | 0.23 | 0.47 |
Xavier Worthy | 6 | 4.8 | 2.5 | 33 | 0.3 | 13.2 | 0.17 | 56.2 | 11.6 | 0.32 | 0.47 |
Isiah Pacheco | 2 | 4 | 3.5 | 27 | 0 | 7.7 | 0.16 | -8.5 | -2.1 | -0.06 | 0.2 |
Noah Gray | 6 | 2.5 | 2.3 | 30.8 | 0 | 13.2 | 0.09 | 18.7 | 7.5 | 0.11 | 0.2 |
Kareem Hunt | 3 | 2.3 | 1.7 | 12 | 0 | 7.2 | 0.08 | -6 | -2.6 | -0.03 | 0.1 |