From a Historical Perspective: How Worried Should We Be About Marvin Harrison’s Debut?
Image Credit: John Smolek/Icon Sportswire. Pictured: Marvin Harrison Jr.

Marvin Harrison Jr. was the first wide receiver selected in the 2024 draft, going to the Arizona Cardinals with the fourth pick. That’s the earliest a WR has been taken since 2015, when Amari Cooper was the Raiders’ fourth overall pick. No receiver had been taken earlier since 2007 (Calvin Johnson). Given the draft capital spent on him, it would be reasonable to expect him to explode out of the gates. Cooper, for instance, had nine targets in his NFL debut (a 21% target share).

Harrison had three. His first target was wide and uncatchable. He dropped his second target. His caught his third target for a four-yard gain. That happened with more than eight minutes to go in the second quarter. Harrison wasn’t targeted again the rest of the game.

Listen as Dave Caban, Kevin Szafraniec, and I try to make sense of Harrison’s debut on the RotoViz Fantasy Football Report

How Did Harrison Fail?

What’s perhaps most surprising about this performance is that Harrison was on the field a lot. He played more snaps (55, good for a 90% snap rate) than any other Arizona skill position player apart from Kyler Murray. As he was on the field for almost every play, he also ran more routes than any other Cardinals receiver. It certainly wasn’t the case that Arizona was bringing the rookie along slowly — they too were expecting big things from their first-round pick. Harrison either struggled to get open or wasn’t on the same page as his quarterback often. (This was notably the case on a play on Arizona’s final drive in which Harrison got wide open behind the defense for what would have been a sure TD, but Murray never saw him.) Whatever the reason, I’m curious about other first-round rookies who underperformed in their Week 1 NFL debut. How bad was Harrison’s performance from a historical perspective?

How Does This Performance Compare?

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here

Please subscribe For Full Access to all RotoViz content and tools!

 

What’s included in your subscription??

  • Exclusive Access to RotoViz Study Hall
    • A treasure trove of our most insightful articles that will teach you the metrics that matter, time-tested winning strategies, the approaches that will give you an edge, and teach you how to be an effective fantasy manager.
  • Revolutionary Tools
    • Including the NFL Stat Explorer, Weekly GLSP Projections, NCAA Prospect Box Score Scout, Combine Explorer, Range of Outcomes App, DFS Lineup Optimizer, Best Ball Suite,and many, many, more.
  • Groundbreaking Articles
    • RotoViz is home of the original Zero-RB article and continues to push fantasy gamers forward as the go-to destination for evidence-based analysis and strategic advantages.
  • Weekly Projections
    • Built using RotoViz’s unique GLSP approach.
  • Expert Rankings
  • And a whole lot more…

Blair Andrews

Managing Editor, Author of The Wrong Read, Occasional Fantasy Football League Winner. All opinions are someone else's.

From a Historical Perspective: Is Brock Bowers Already the TE1 in Both Dynasty and Redraft?

Blair Andrews examines Brock Bowers’ historic start to his rookie season. Listen as Blair, Hasan Rahim, and Kevin Szafraniec discuss Bowers’ fantasy impact in Week 2 on the RotoViz Fantasy Football Report.  Through two games, Brock Bowers leads all tight ends in targets, receptions, and receiving yards. Since 2000, only four other tight ends have garnered more than 12 targets in their first two…...

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here

Is This the Week Garrett Wilson Proves He’s an Elite WR? The Wrong Read, Week 2

Welcome to The Wrong Read. This weekly article uses advanced team-level metrics to preview the week’s upcoming matchups. The goal is to try to understand how an upcoming matchup might play out in terms of each offense’s ability to execute their game plan. How successful will they be when trying to pass? How much will they be able to run the ball? It’s impossible to…...

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here

Tyreek Hill Is Not Slowing Down: The Wrong Read, Week 1 Thursday Night Football Preview

Welcome to the Wrong Read. This weekly article uses advanced team-level metrics to preview the week’s upcoming matchups. The goal is to try to understand how an upcoming matchup might play out in terms of each offense’s ability to execute their game plan. How successful will they be when trying to pass? How much will they be able to run the ball? It’s impossible to…...

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here

From a Historical Perspective: Is Brock Bowers Already the TE1 in Both Dynasty and Redraft?

Blair Andrews examines Brock Bowers’ historic start to his rookie season. Listen as Blair, Hasan Rahim, and Kevin Szafraniec discuss Bowers’ fantasy impact in Week 2 on the RotoViz Fantasy Football Report.  Through two games, Brock Bowers leads all tight ends in targets, receptions, and receiving yards. Since 2000, only four other tight ends have garnered more than 12 targets in their first two…...

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here

Is This the Week Garrett Wilson Proves He’s an Elite WR? The Wrong Read, Week 2

Welcome to The Wrong Read. This weekly article uses advanced team-level metrics to preview the week’s upcoming matchups. The goal is to try to understand how an upcoming matchup might play out in terms of each offense’s ability to execute their game plan. How successful will they be when trying to pass? How much will they be able to run the ball? It’s impossible to…...

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here

Tyreek Hill Is Not Slowing Down: The Wrong Read, Week 1 Thursday Night Football Preview

Welcome to the Wrong Read. This weekly article uses advanced team-level metrics to preview the week’s upcoming matchups. The goal is to try to understand how an upcoming matchup might play out in terms of each offense’s ability to execute their game plan. How successful will they be when trying to pass? How much will they be able to run the ball? It’s impossible to…...

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here

The Blitz

Connect
Support

rotovizmain@gmail.com

Sign-up today for our free Premium Email subscription!

Data provided by

© 2021 RotoViz. All rights Reserved.

Welcome Back to RotoViz...

– IF YOU HAVE ISSUES LOGGING IN PLEASE CONTACT ROTOVIZMAIN@GMAIL.COM

– PLEASE NOTE THAT ROTOVIZ USES WORDPRESS FOR ACCOUNT MANAGEMENT. IF RESETTING YOUR PASSWORD YOU MAY BE FOWARDED TO A WORDPRESS PAGE.