Range of Outcomes Projections: 2 Undervalued Veterans and the RB Who Can Take Teams at the Turn to the Next Level

Dave Caban
August 24, 2024

Dave Caban uses his detailed projections process to visualize ranges of outcomes for the top-48 running backs, factoring in shifts in market shares and team play volumes.

Over the past three months, I’ve dedicated significant time to working on the RotoViz 2024 Fantasy Football Player Projections. This year, I introduced a new element by analyzing how potential shifts in market share and team play volume could affect a player’s projection. If you haven’t been following the projections series, I recommend checking out this article for a detailed overview of the process.

In this article, I’ve compiled the top-48 running backs based on recent FFPC ADP and visualized each player’s range of outcomes using the projection method described in the linked article. The point totals are based on PPR scoring, and players are ranked No. 1 to No. 48 by ADP. The bar next to each player represents the range between their “Downside” and “Upside” projection, with a red dot indicating their PPR in a baseline scenario. This visual provides a quick snapshot of each player’s spread between “Downside” and “Upside,” helping us identify players who stand out compared to others drafted in similar ranges.

Ranges of Outcomes Visualized

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Dave Caban

Senior Fantasy Analyst, app developer, hosts the RotoViz Radio Flagship, auction draft enthusiast.

Going Deep: Week 11 Passing Matchups Preview, Part 2

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