Range of Outcomes Tool Tutorial: Developing Realistic Expectations for 2024
Image Credit: Scott Grau/Icon Sportswire. Pictured: Josh Allen.

Heading into the 2023 season, I revamped the Range of Outcomes app, one of our favorite tools on the site. We will spend some time considering its results in the coming months. If you are not familiar with the tool, I encourage you to quickly read through what I wrote last year and watch the tutorial video.

2023 Synopsis

The RotoViz Range Of Outcomes tool uses historical data to help users better understand a player’s realistic range of outcomes for the coming season. The tool reviews a player’s statistics from his two most recent seasons to match him with players from prior seasons that produced similar statistics. By looking at how these players performed in their next season, the tool can build a reasonable expectation of what the searched player’s upcoming season might look like.

I recently finished creating a new version of the Range of Outcomes tool. It’s built on the same concepts as the previous version, but allows users to more easily focus on a specific scoring format, is hopefully a little easier to navigate, and includes a really helpful module for comparing players. All of these updates and the general concept behind the tool are overviewed in the video below.

While the look and the feel of the app have changed, the underlying process of creating the Range of Outcomes projections remains the same and is explained in greater detail in this article.

Video Tutorial 

2024 Top-10 By Average PPR By Position

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Dave Caban

Senior Fantasy Analyst, app developer, hosts the RotoViz Radio Flagship, auction draft enthusiast.

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Welcome to Going Deep! This weekly article will make use of charting data, advanced metrics, and other RotoViz tools — specifically the Passing Game Matchup Rater — to help readers better understand the challenges facing wide receivers and tight ends in the coming week. As my process makes heavy use of the Matchup Rater, I’d highly recommend that you set aside half an hour to watch the tutorial/walkthrough and…...

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