Since 2018 we’ve been using the backfield dominator rating (BDR) to find undervalued running backs and to evaluate the top backs in the class. BDR is a key stat we report in the Box Score Scout, and it’s also a central component of some predictive models in the RB Prospect Lab. We’ve used it and related precursor metrics such as Workhorse Scores to find hidden gems and extreme upside in middle and late rounds of the NFL Draft (or even among undrafted free agents), including Jamaal Williams, Aaron Jones, Phillip Lindsay, De’Von Achane, and Jaleel McLaughlin.
A low BDR isn’t always a problem for highly drafted RBs. But those who played at small schools or didn’t have an opportunity to generate as much buzz as their trendier counterparts can often show NFL talent by dominating the touches and production in their college backfields.
The 2024 RB class is usually presented as being weaker than classes we’ve seen in the recent past. The BDR leaderboard doesn’t necessarily dispute this assessment at the top end. The best backs according to expected draft position did not, in general, marginalize the other RBs on their college teams. The leaders in BDR do not have the elite numbers of a player like Lindsay (98%) or even McLaughlin (91%). However, several members of the class expected to be drafted in the later rounds were able to dominate the workloads in their respective backfields, and may indeed be able to do the same in the NFL.
