Last time, we parsed through the three small-gap backfields. We know from Jack Miller’s research on the win and hit rates for big or small-gap backs, as well as previous work by Charlie Kleinheksel, that the ADP gap between a team’s RB1 and their RB2 has significant implications for how we should expect them to perform. In all these articles, B1 and B2 running backs refer to a team’s RB1 and RB2 in backfields with an ADP gap of 98.5 or more. Those in backfields with a smaller gap between the RB1 and RB2 are referred to as S1 and S2, respectively.
Historically, B1 and S2 backs have produced the best win rates, but at very different costs. B2 backs have produced average win rates, while S1 backs have historically been the worst performers. Today we’ll focus on three more small-gap RBs who might provide an edge in our fantasy drafts. Although it’s early, we’ll use the FFPC Redraft ADP and identify small-gap running backs.
The market seems torn on talent or opportunity with the narrower ADP gap. Since we only have one pick in each round, let’s briefly look at the small-gap backs for these three teams to lay out the pros and cons.