The Dynasty WR1 Battle Heats Up, Plus a Week 15 Expected Points Preview
Image Credit: Nick Wosika/Icon Sportswire. Pictured: Justin Jefferson.

Blair Andrews speculates on who might be the dynasty WR1 in 2022 after two young stars padded their resumes in Week 14.

Notes on Week 14 WRs and a Look Ahead to 2022 ADP

Justin Jefferson had taken a brief lead in the battle for overall dynasty WR1 after Ja’Marr Chase’s multi-week dip in efficiency. But Chase reminded us why he was worth the early draft pick the Bengals spent on him, scoring a pair of touchdowns on his eight targets in Week 14. Jefferson also reminded us why he still might be the dynasty WR1, garnering 15 targets, one of which was a touchdown of his own. And it should have been more if not for Kirk Cousins’ inaccuracy. But of course that’s part of Jefferson’s dynasty profile — at least for now.

The former college teammates are both top seven in total PPR points, with Jefferson coming in at No. 2. Only Cooper Kupp and Mike Evans have more receiving TDs than Chase this season. Adam Thielen is the only other player with more TDs than Jefferson (which may speak to some untapped upside for Jefferson in this offense).

The most curious aspect of Chase’s rookie season hasn’t been the precipitous drop in efficiency (which was always something we expected, even if we didn’t foresee how precipitous it would be). Rather, it’s that he’s averaging only 7.5 targets per game in an offense we expected to be quite a bit more potent.

Compare this to Jefferson, who’s averaging nearly 10 targets per game — with double-digit targets in four of his last five — and you see why Jefferson retains the advantage for dynasty gamers.

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here

Please subscribe For Full Access to all RotoViz content and tools!

 

What’s included in your subscription??

  • Exclusive Access to RotoViz Study Hall
    • A treasure trove of our most insightful articles that will teach you the metrics that matter, time-tested winning strategies, the approaches that will give you an edge, and teach you how to be an effective fantasy manager.
  • Revolutionary Tools
    • Including the NFL Stat Explorer, Weekly GLSP Projections, NCAA Prospect Box Score Scout, Combine Explorer, Range of Outcomes App, DFS Lineup Optimizer, Best Ball Suite,and many, many, more.
  • Groundbreaking Articles
    • RotoViz is home of the original Zero-RB article and continues to push fantasy gamers forward as the go-to destination for evidence-based analysis and strategic advantages.
  • Weekly Projections
    • Built using RotoViz’s unique GLSP approach.
  • Expert Rankings
  • And a whole lot more…

Blair Andrews

Managing Editor, Author of The Wrong Read, Occasional Fantasy Football League Winner. All opinions are someone else's.

4 Running Back Prospects Whose College Production Points to Outsized Returns, and 4 Potential Red Flags: 2025 Backfield Dominator Ratings

Collegiate production is still among the most undervalued measurements for running back prospects. In large part this is because we lack many good ways to measure it. Both rushing and receiving numbers depend on scheme, personnel, offensive and defensive strength, and a host of other factors. This can make many of the raw counting stats misleading. The solution is to control for these factors as…...

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here

Win Probabilities and Contrarian Value Picks for Your 2025 March Madness Bracket

The NFL free agency period is more or less over, which can only mean one thing: March Madness time! Just like last year, I’m leveraging advanced team metrics and simulations to find value in the bracket. For a more detailed look at the methodology, check out the introduction to last year’s article. This year I’m adding two tools to the analytical arsenal. The first is…...

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here

Evan Engram Becomes Sean Payton’s Latest Joker, But Can He Live Up to the Inevitable Jimmy Graham Comparisons?

The Broncos have signed Evan Engram to a two-year, $23 million contract with $16.5 million guaranteed, and Sean Payton finally has his Joker: During an interview with Kay Adams of the “Up and Adams Show” at the Super Bowl earlier this month, Payton discussed a key need in 2025. Adams started the conversation by suggesting Denver needed a veteran wide receiver. Payton countered, “I would…...

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here

4 Running Back Prospects Whose College Production Points to Outsized Returns, and 4 Potential Red Flags: 2025 Backfield Dominator Ratings

Collegiate production is still among the most undervalued measurements for running back prospects. In large part this is because we lack many good ways to measure it. Both rushing and receiving numbers depend on scheme, personnel, offensive and defensive strength, and a host of other factors. This can make many of the raw counting stats misleading. The solution is to control for these factors as…...

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here

Win Probabilities and Contrarian Value Picks for Your 2025 March Madness Bracket

The NFL free agency period is more or less over, which can only mean one thing: March Madness time! Just like last year, I’m leveraging advanced team metrics and simulations to find value in the bracket. For a more detailed look at the methodology, check out the introduction to last year’s article. This year I’m adding two tools to the analytical arsenal. The first is…...

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here

Evan Engram Becomes Sean Payton’s Latest Joker, But Can He Live Up to the Inevitable Jimmy Graham Comparisons?

The Broncos have signed Evan Engram to a two-year, $23 million contract with $16.5 million guaranteed, and Sean Payton finally has his Joker: During an interview with Kay Adams of the “Up and Adams Show” at the Super Bowl earlier this month, Payton discussed a key need in 2025. Adams started the conversation by suggesting Denver needed a veteran wide receiver. Payton countered, “I would…...

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here

The Blitz

Connect
Support

rotovizmain@gmail.com

Sign-up today for our free Premium Email subscription!

Data provided by

© 2021 RotoViz. All rights Reserved.

Welcome Back to RotoViz...

– IF YOU HAVE ISSUES LOGGING IN PLEASE CONTACT ROTOVIZMAIN@GMAIL.COM

– PLEASE NOTE THAT ROTOVIZ USES WORDPRESS FOR ACCOUNT MANAGEMENT. IF RESETTING YOUR PASSWORD YOU MAY BE FOWARDED TO A WORDPRESS PAGE.