Jaylen Waddle Emerges (Again): Week 13 Expected Points and Team GLSP
Image Credit: Andrew Bershaw/Icon Sportswire. Pictured: Jaylen Waddle.

Blair Andrews takes a closer look at Jaylen Waddle and Tee Higgins and provides a snapshot of expected points (EP) market share.

Expected Points and Team GLSP

Expected point share is among the most predictive metrics on a week-to-week basis, so knowing who the leaders are — and who the leaders were in the previous week — gives us a huge edge in predicting the top scorers for the week ahead. Below we’ll look at some of the top performers from last week to determine whether we should expect repeat performances.

2021 Expected Points

PlayerTeamPosGMsEPFPOEruEPruFPOEreEPreFPOEmsRuEPmsReEPmsEP
Dalvin CookMINRB918.3-1.612.5-2.15.8-0.569.8%9.6%23.3%
Cooper KuppLARWR1120.640-0.120.64.80.0%27.6%22.5%
Tyreek HillKCWR1120.21.20.50.319.61.22.8%27.1%22.4%
Keenan AllenLACWR1118.5-1.90018.5-1.60.0%26.5%22.1%
Brandin CooksHOUWR1114.8-1.60.1014.7-1.11.5%24.3%22.1%
Joe MixonCINRB1116.23.411.92.64.40.864.7%7.9%21.8%
Alvin KamaraNORB820.1-0.311.5-2.68.62.347.1%12.4%21.5%
Jonathan TaylorINDRB1218.75.213.13.95.51.364.5%8.2%21.3%
Davante AdamsGBWR1118.310018.31.60.0%26.0%20.9%
Justin JeffersonMINWR1116.42.50.2-0.116.12.71.1%26.5%20.8%
Austin EkelerLACRB1117.44.87.91.49.5456.4%13.6%20.8%
D'Andre SwiftDETRB1117.9-0.67.9-0.7100.749.7%13.8%20.2%
Diontae JohnsonPITWR1021-40.3020.7-2.81.9%23.2%19.9%
Stefon DiggsBUFWR1116.31.30016.31.40.0%23.7%19.7%
Christian McCaffreyCARRB717.30.98.8-1.88.52.947.6%12.1%19.5%
Najee HarrisPITRB1120.6-2.411-1.99.6-0.367.9%10.7%19.5%
Terry McLaurinWASWR1015.40.400.115.40.40.0%23.9%19.5%
Calvin RidleyATLWR518.4-4.20018.4-40.0%23.7%19.5%
Adam ThielenMINWR1115.11.80.2-0.214.92.81.1%24.5%19.2%
Deebo SamuelSFWR1116.44.62.52.1142.49.2%23.4%18.9%
Tee HigginsCINWR913.6-0.40013.6-0.50.0%24.4%18.3%
Marquise BrownBALWR1015.42.10015.42.10.0%22.8%18.1%
DJ MooreCARWR1215.8-0.80.4-0.115.4-0.62.2%22.0%17.9%
Tyler LockettSEAWR1012.31.40012.31.40.0%24.6%17.6%
Antonio GibsonWASRB1013.8-0.79.6-0.64.2-0.166.7%6.5%17.5%
Mike WilliamsLACWR1114.60.70014.60.80.0%20.9%17.4%
Ja'Marr ChaseCINWR1112.94.40.5-0.312.45.52.7%22.3%17.4%
Darnell MooneyCHIWR1112.40.50.20.612.10.11.1%22.5%17.4%
DK MetcalfSEAWR1012.13.60012.13.60.0%24.2%17.3%
Josh JacobsLVRB915.1-0.98.30.46.8-1.145.4%9.8%17.2%
David MontgomeryCHIRB712.10.58.313.8-0.347.2%7.1%16.9%
Travis KelceKCTE1115.21.70.10.415.11.50.6%20.9%16.9%
DeVonta SmithPHIWR1211.50.40011.50.90.0%25.3%16.7%
Ezekiel ElliottDALRB1116.219.71.26.5-0.259.9%8.0%16.5%
Darrell Henderson JrLARRB1014.90.88.70.86.2052.1%8.3%16.3%
Mark AndrewsBALTE1113.71.80013.71.80.0%20.3%16.1%
Robert WoodsLARWR914.7-0.10.90.313.80.75.4%18.5%16.1%
Darren WallerLVTE1014.1-1.20014.1-10.0%20.2%16.0%
Nick ChubbCLERB912.74.110.43.32.40.942.8%4.3%15.9%
Derrick HenryTENRB821.2316.62.64.40.341.8%4.7%15.9%
Aaron JonesGBRB1113.81.27.3-0.56.51.942.9%9.2%15.8%
Sterling ShepardNYGWR516.8-2.90.1-0.316.7-2.40.7%18.0%15.6%
Leonard FournetteTBRB1117.30.68.70.88.6056.9%9.0%15.5%
Michael Pittman JrINDWR1213.50.40.1013.41.10.5%19.9%15.4%
Kareem HuntCLERB712.137.32.44.90.330.0%8.8%15.2%
Jakobi MeyersNEWR1212.9-1.80012.7-20.0%20.4%15.0%
James RobinsonJACRB1014.11.38.21.95.8-161.2%7.2%14.9%
Cole BeasleyBUFWR1112.3-1.30012.2-1.20.0%17.7%14.9%
CeeDee LambDALWR1014.520.6-0.313.92.53.7%17.1%14.8%
Hunter RenfrowLVWR1112.91.10.2-0.112.71.81.1%18.2%14.7%
Chris CarsonSEARB410.22.37.82.62.40.138.6%4.8%14.6%
Melvin GordonDENRB11120.88.10.740.649.4%5.9%14.3%
Michael GallupDALWR413.9-40013.9-3.50.0%17.1%14.2%
Cordarrelle PattersonATLRB1013.45.25.31.28.14.731.2%10.4%14.2%
Miles SandersPHIRB99.7-0.85.8-0.73.9-0.425.0%8.6%14.1%
James ConnerARIRB1112.13.29.22.32.80.848.7%4.1%14.0%
Michael CarterNYJRB1013.6-0.87.2-0.56.4-0.332.0%8.5%13.9%
Elijah MitchellSFRB812.11.99.42.22.70.434.6%4.5%13.9%
Courtland SuttonDENWR1111.7-0.50011.7-0.60.0%17.3%13.9%
Allen RobinsonCHIWR99.9-2.1009.9-1.90.0%18.4%13.9%
Chase ClaypoolPITWR914.5-2.41.1-0.513.5-1.76.8%15.1%13.7%
Jaylen WaddleMIAWR1215.200.40.114.80.12.1%16.1%13.7%
Jarvis LandryCLEWR810.9-0.30.30.710.5-1.71.2%18.9%13.7%
Chris GodwinTBWR1115.11.70.30.414.822.0%15.4%13.6%
Javonte WilliamsDENRB1111.3-0.36.9-0.74.30.442.1%6.3%13.4%
DeVante ParkerMIAWR514.8-2.10014.8-1.90.0%16.1%13.4%
Tyler BoydCINWR119.900.10.19.70.60.5%17.4%13.3%
DeAndre HopkinsARIWR811.54.20011.54.30.0%17.0%13.3%
Boston ScottPHIRB79.10.36.512.6-0.728.0%5.7%13.2%
Darrel WilliamsKCRB1111.9-0.56.1-0.75.80.334.7%8.0%13.2%
Rashod BatemanBALWR611.1-1.90011.1-1.90.0%16.4%13.1%
Myles GaskinMIARB1214.4-1.57.2-1.77.20.238.5%7.8%13.0%
Antonio BrownTBWR514.44.70.2014.24.91.3%14.8%12.9%
Damien HarrisNERB1111.11.69.211.9039.7%3.0%12.9%
Chase EdmondsARIRB911.104.90.56.2-0.625.9%9.2%12.8%
Emmanuel SandersBUFWR1110.60.20.10.110.50.30.7%15.3%12.8%
Mark IngramNORB1111.9-2.77.7-2.14.2-0.631.6%6.1%12.7%
Zack MossBUFRB910.5-0.45.604.9-0.340.6%7.1%12.7%
Amari CooperDALWR912.42.30012.42.30.0%15.2%12.7%
TJ HockensonDETTE1111.20.70011.21.20.0%15.4%12.6%
Marvin JonesJACWR1111.9-1.30011.9-1.30.0%14.7%12.6%
Dawson KnoxBUFTE910.22.80.2-0.29.92.91.4%14.4%12.3%
Mike EvansTBWR1113.72.20.1013.62.80.7%14.2%12.3%
Corey DavisNYJWR8120.900120.90.0%16.0%12.3%
Kyle PittsATLTE1111.6-0.90011.6-0.80.0%14.9%12.3%
Jerry JeudyDENWR510.3-0.40.2-0.210.1-0.81.2%14.9%12.2%
Zach ErtzARITE1110.40.20010.40.30.0%15.4%12.0%
David JohnsonHOURB118-1.32.6-15.3-0.340.0%8.8%11.9%
JD McKissicWASRB109.41.12.407116.7%10.9%11.9%
Noah FantDENTE10100.2001000.0%14.7%11.9%
Mike DavisATLRB1111.2-3.75-1.76.3-1.329.4%8.1%11.9%
Dallas GoedertPHITE118.10.8008.110.0%17.8%11.8%
Laviska ShenaultJACWR1111.1-2.80.4-0.110.7-2.63.0%13.2%11.7%
Devin SingletaryBUFRB119.7-150.34.7-1.336.2%6.8%11.7%
Clyde Edwards-HelaireKCRB610.51.56.70.43.81.138.1%5.3%11.7%
Jordan HowardPHIRB483.483.40034.5%0.0%11.6%
Cole KmetCHITE118.3-1.70.3-0.38-1.21.7%14.9%11.6%
Van JeffersonLARWR1110.6-0.10010.6-0.10.0%14.2%11.6%
Saquon BarkleyNYGRB712.5-0.36-0.66.50.442.6%7.0%11.6%
Jamison CrowderNYJWR811.2-0.40011-0.50.0%14.7%11.5%
George KittleSFTE89.92.10.109.82.10.4%16.4%11.4%
Kenneth GainwellPHIRB117.8-0.12.50.55.3-0.610.8%11.6%11.3%
AJ DillonGBRB129.916.3-0.83.61.837.1%5.1%11.3%
Elijah MooreNYJWR10110.70.30.710.70.21.3%14.3%11.3%
Dontrell HilliardTENRB2153.36.25.18.81.215.6%9.4%11.3%
Rondale MooreARIWR119.7-0.51.1-0.58.60.65.8%12.7%11.2%
AJ GreenARIWR109.60.4009.610.0%14.2%11.1%
Robby AndersonCARWR129.8-3.50.109.8-3.30.5%14.0%11.1%
Tyler ConklinMINTE118.70.3008.70.40.0%14.3%11.1%
Mecole HardmanKCWR119.9-1.40.5-0.29.4-1.32.8%13.0%11.0%
Rob GronkowskiTBTE612.22.90012.22.90.0%12.7%11.0%
Tre'Quan SmithNOWR610.1-0.80010.1-0.70.0%14.6%10.8%
Odell BeckhamLARWR89.7-1.60.209.5-1.71.2%12.7%10.6%
Rhamondre StevensonNERB89.10.56.30.32.80.227.2%4.5%10.6%
Jared CookLACTE118.8-0.6008.800.0%12.6%10.5%
Jamaal WilliamsDETRB99.305.7-0.73.6035.8%5.0%10.5%
Alex CollinsSEARB97.3-0.16.1-0.51.20.430.2%2.4%10.4%
Christian KirkARIWR1193.70.108.93.60.5%13.2%10.4%
Chuba HubbardCARRB129.2-1.35.6-0.63.6-0.730.3%5.1%10.4%
Tim PatrickDENWR118.62.1008.62.10.0%12.7%10.2%
Mike GesickiMIATE1211.3-0.80011.3-0.80.0%12.3%10.2%
Tyler HigbeeLARTE119.3-0.9009.3-0.40.0%12.5%10.2%
Zach PascalINDWR128.9-1.50.108.8-1.50.5%13.1%10.1%
Dalton SchultzDALTE119.91.7009.91.50.0%12.2%10.1%
Danny AmendolaHOUWR76.7-1.5006.5-1.30.0%10.8%10.0%
Marquez Valdes-ScantlingGBWR78.7-0.2008.7-0.20.0%12.3%9.9%
James WhiteNERB38.51.91.91.46.50.98.2%10.4%9.9%
Alexander MattisonMINRB117.7-0.54.4-13.30.524.6%5.4%9.8%
DJ Chark JrJACWR49.2-0.6009.2-0.60.0%11.4%9.7%
AJ BrownTENWR1012.9-0.20.2012.7-0.80.5%13.6%9.7%
Brandon AiyukSFWR118.40.40.3-0.28.10.51.1%13.5%9.7%
Kendrick BourneNEWR128.340.40.27.74.21.7%12.3%9.6%
Devonta FreemanBALRB108.10.64.60.43.50.226.6%5.2%9.5%
Nico CollinsHOUWR86.4-1.3006.4-1.30.0%10.6%9.5%
Sammy WatkinsBALWR88-0.70080.80.0%11.8%9.4%
Jalen ReagorPHIWR126.4-1.40.3-0.16-1.31.3%13.2%9.3%
Nelson AgholorNEWR128-0.30.1-0.17.9-0.20.4%12.7%9.3%
Pat FreiermuthPITTE119.8-0.5009.80.20.0%11.0%9.3%
Evan EngramNYGTE910-2.20.3-0.49.6-1.82.1%10.3%9.3%
Khalil HerbertCHIRB106.6-15-0.71.6-0.228.4%3.0%9.2%
Brevin JordanHOUTE46.21.1006.21.30.0%10.3%9.2%
Austin WalterNYJRB190.87.72.11.3-1.334.2%1.7%9.2%
Henry RuggsLVWR78.140.207.93.91.1%11.3%9.2%
JuJu Smith-SchusterPITWR59.7-2.80.90.58.9-3.35.6%10.0%9.2%
Kenyan DrakeLVRB1181.23.10.34.8116.9%6.9%9.1%
Jeff WilsonSFRB37.9-4.16-3.21.9-0.322.1%3.2%9.1%
Quez WatkinsPHIWR126.2-0.10.106.1-0.30.4%13.4%9.0%
Gerald EverettSEATE86.30.60.2-0.16.20.81.0%12.4%9.0%
Devontae BookerNYGRB109.7-0.55.9-1.33.80.941.8%4.1%9.0%
Kenny GolladayNYGWR89.7-2.2009.7-20.0%10.4%9.0%
D'Ernest JohnsonCLERB87.10.94.80.72.40.219.8%4.3%8.9%
Quintez CephusDETWR57.92007.91.60.0%10.9%8.9%
Tony PollardDALRB118.72.24.80.53.80.929.6%4.7%8.9%
Hunter HenryNETE127.52.2007.52.30.0%12.0%8.7%
Damien WilliamsCHIRB76.203.20.53-0.618.2%5.6%8.7%
Amon-Ra St BrownDETWR117.7-0.8007.7-0.60.0%10.6%8.7%
KJ OsbornMINWR116.80.50.106.70.50.6%11.0%8.6%
Russell GageATLWR88.10.1008.11.60.0%10.4%8.6%
Kalif RaymondDETWR117.60.20.1-0.17.40.20.6%10.2%8.6%
Deonte HarrisNOWR1080.50.4-0.17.61.31.6%11.0%8.6%
Marquez CallawayNOWR1180.80081.50.0%11.6%8.6%
Austin HooperCLETE116.8-0.6006.8-0.70.0%12.2%8.5%
JaMycal HastySFRB57.4-0.81.70.45.6-1.26.3%9.4%8.5%
Nyheim HinesINDRB127.4-0.21.91.15.5-0.79.4%8.2%8.4%
Kadarius ToneyNYGWR99.1-0.70.2-0.18.7-0.41.4%9.4%8.4%
Peyton BarberLVRB47.4-0.75.8-0.61.6-0.131.7%2.3%8.4%
Qadree OllisonATLRB17.9-2.54.4-13.6-1.625.9%4.6%8.4%
David NjokuCLETE126.60.5006.60.70.0%11.9%8.3%
Jonnu SmithNETE117.1-1.70.306.8-0.81.3%10.9%8.2%
Dan ArnoldJACTE117.8-0.7007.8-0.20.0%9.6%8.2%
Dante PettisNYGWR38.9-0.4008.4-0.20.0%9.0%8.2%
Ty JohnsonNYJRB11803.4-1.24.60.515.1%6.1%8.2%
Ricky Seals-JonesWASTE96.40006.40.40.0%9.9%8.1%
Jordan AkinsHOUTE95.4-1005.4-1.20.0%8.9%8.0%
James O'ShaughnessyJACTE37.5-0.2007.5-0.80.0%9.3%7.9%
Latavius MurrayBALRB86.70.65.40.81.3-0.231.2%1.9%7.9%
Logan ThomasWASTE46.22.7006.22.70.0%9.6%7.9%
Jamal AgnewJACWR107.40.20.51.26.8-1.53.7%8.4%7.8%
Bryan EdwardsLVWR116.80.4006.80.20.0%9.8%7.7%
TY HiltonINDWR56.70.2006.70.20.0%10.0%7.6%
Anthony MillerPITWR38-3.2008-2.80.0%8.9%7.6%
Marquise GoodwinCHIWR115.4-1.40.3-0.35.1-0.51.7%9.5%7.6%
Cedrick WilsonDALWR117.41.10.107.11.10.6%8.7%7.6%
Darius SlaytonNYGWR88-1.70.1-0.27.9-1.40.7%8.5%7.4%
Adam HumphriesWASWR105.8-0.9005.8-0.80.0%9.0%7.4%
Adam TrautmanNOTE106.8-1.2006.8-1.20.0%9.8%7.3%
Randall CobbGBWR126.31.20.106.21.70.6%8.8%7.2%
Brandon BoldenNERB116.11.21.4-0.14.71.36.0%7.5%7.1%
Parris CampbellINDWR56.20.3006.20.30.0%9.2%7.1%
Cody HollisterTENWR19.4-5.2009.4-5.20.0%10.1%7.1%
Will Fuller VMIAWR27.8-3.4007.8-3.90.0%8.5%7.0%
Donovan Peoples-JonesCLEWR95.62.2005.62.20.0%10.1%7.0%
CJ UzomahCINTE115.12.8005.13.30.0%9.2%6.9%
Samaje PerineCINRB105.10.72.202.90.712.0%5.2%6.9%
Freddie SwainSEAWR104.800.204.501.0%9.0%6.9%
Allen LazardGBWR106-0.1006-0.10.0%8.5%6.8%
Sony MichelLARRB116.2-1.34.2-0.91.90.225.1%2.5%6.8%
Jack DoyleINDTE125.90.3005.90.10.0%8.8%6.7%
Carlos HydeJACRB106.3-2.43.8-1.52.5-0.928.4%3.1%6.7%
Robert TonyanGBTE85.80.5005.80.30.0%8.2%6.6%
Ty'son WilliamsBALRB75.60.42.71.62.8-0.215.6%4.1%6.6%
Pharaoh BrownHOUTE84.4-1.1004.4-1.10.0%7.3%6.6%
Mohamed SanuSFWR85.7-1.6005.7-1.60.0%9.5%6.6%
Trey SermonSFRB55.704.40.11.3-0.216.2%2.2%6.6%
Tyrell WilliamsDETWR15.8-2.4005.8-2.40.0%8.0%6.5%
Julio JonesTENWR68.70.4008.70.60.0%9.3%6.5%
Adrian PetersonTENRB38.5-2.15.8-12.7-1.114.6%2.9%6.4%
Devin DuvernayBALWR115.40.10.20.25.3-0.11.2%7.8%6.4%
DeAndre CarterWASWR1051.40.30.14.70.72.1%7.3%6.3%
Keith KirkwoodCARWR25.6-3.2005.6-3.20.0%8.0%6.3%
Albert OkwuegbunamDENTE85.30.5005.30.60.0%7.8%6.3%
D'Onta ForemanTENRB48.3-0.97-2.11.41.217.6%1.5%6.2%
KJ HamlerDENWR35.2-1005.2-10.0%7.7%6.2%
Le'Veon BellBALRB55.1-0.84.4-0.30.7-0.525.4%1.0%6.0%
Rex BurkheadHOURB104-12.3-0.71.8-0.235.4%3.0%6.0%
Olamide ZaccheausATLWR115.6-0.2005.6-0.20.0%7.2%5.9%
Rashard HigginsCLEWR114.7-1.1004.7-1.10.0%8.5%5.9%
Maxx WilliamsARITE55.13.2005.13.20.0%7.6%5.9%
Braxton BerriosNYJWR115.7-0.60.2-0.15.5-0.50.9%7.3%5.8%
Ryan GriffinNYJTE115.6-1.5005.6-1.30.0%7.5%5.7%
Tevin ColemanNYJRB75.6-1.63.5-0.82.1-0.715.6%2.8%5.7%
Terrace Marshall JrCARWR95-1.9005-2.10.0%7.1%5.6%
Josh ReynoldsDETWR75000500.0%6.9%5.6%
Cameron BrateTBTE116.2-2.3006.2-2.30.0%6.5%5.6%
Tony Jones JrNORB65.2-2.63.1-1.32.1-1.312.7%3.0%5.6%
Chris ConleyHOUWR103.70.7003.70.70.0%6.1%5.5%
JJ TaylorNERB54.7-0.63.6-0.41.1-0.115.5%1.8%5.5%
Curtis SamuelWASWR24.3-10.20.24.1-1.11.4%6.4%5.4%
Dyami BrownWASWR84.3-2.40-0.14.3-2.10.0%6.7%5.4%
Gabriel DavisBUFWR114.50.4004.510.0%6.5%5.4%
Keelan ColeNYJWR105.3-0.4005.3-0.60.0%7.1%5.4%
Jalen GuytonLACWR114.5-1.10.4-0.14.1-12.9%5.9%5.4%
Scottie PhillipsHOURB23.6-1.51.5-0.82.1-0.723.1%3.5%5.4%
Matt BreidaBUFRB54.43.92.21.22.22.715.9%3.2%5.3%
Ja'Marcus BradleyCLEWR24.21004.210.0%7.6%5.3%
Ameer AbdullahCARRB104.6-0.81.5-0.63.1-0.28.1%4.4%5.2%
Hayden HurstATLTE94.9-0.3004.9-0.30.0%6.3%5.2%
Trinity BensonDETWR74.6-2.6004.6-2.60.0%6.3%5.2%
Rashaad PennySEARB43.6-2.53.6-2.50017.8%0.0%5.1%
Mo Alie-CoxINDTE124.40.8004.40.80.0%6.5%5.0%
Byron PringleKCWR114.52.3004.52.30.0%6.2%5.0%
James WashingtonPITWR105.2-0.900.15.1-0.40.0%5.7%4.9%
Giovani BernardTBRB95.410.40.250.72.6%5.2%4.8%
Chris MooreHOUWR83.21.1003.21.10.0%5.3%4.8%
Kyle RudolphNYGTE105.1-1.1005.1-1.20.0%5.5%4.7%
Preston WilliamsMIAWR65.1-2.80.204.9-2.71.1%5.3%4.6%
Jacob HollisterJACTE44.2-1.2004.20.30.0%5.2%4.4%
Demarcus RobinsonKCWR114-0.40040.10.0%5.5%4.4%
Derrick GoreKCRB440.33.30.20.70.218.8%1.0%4.4%
Jeremy McNicholsTENRB105.901.1-0.44.80.42.8%5.1%4.4%
Donald ParhamLACTE113.71.1003.710.0%5.3%4.4%
Nick Westbrook-IkhineTENWR115.80.8005.80.20.0%6.2%4.4%
Juwann WinfreeGBWR33.8-1.4003.8-1.40.0%5.4%4.3%
Durham SmytheMIATE124.8-0.6004.8-0.50.0%5.2%4.3%
Malcolm BrownMIARB74.8-1.53.6-11.2-0.419.3%1.3%4.3%
Laquon TreadwellJACWR64.1-1.7004.1-1.70.0%5.1%4.3%
Blake JarwinDALTE74.20.2004.20.20.0%5.2%4.3%
DeeJay DallasSEARB7311.20.51.80.55.9%3.6%4.3%
Will DisslySEATE1030.50030.50.0%6.0%4.3%
Kirk MerrittMIAWR14.7-2.4004.7-2.40.0%5.1%4.2%
Tajae SharpeATLWR114-0.1004-0.10.0%5.1%4.2%
DeSean JacksonLVWR103.72.30.103.72.30.5%5.3%4.2%
Zay JonesLVWR113.70.30.103.70.40.5%5.3%4.2%
Tyler KroftNYJTE64.10.3004.10.30.0%5.5%4.2%
Trayveon WilliamsCINRB13.1-1.83.1-1.80016.8%0.0%4.2%
Albert WilsonMIAWR114.6-10.204.4-0.91.1%4.8%4.2%
Salvon AhmedMIARB114.6-1.32-0.92.5-0.410.7%2.7%4.2%
Kyle JuszczykSFRB113.60.90.5-0.33.11.11.8%5.2%4.1%
Chester RogersTENWR115.5-0.80.105.4-0.80.3%5.8%4.1%
Tyler JohnsonTBWR114.6-0.9004.6-0.90.0%4.8%4.1%
Eric EbronPITTE84.3-0.30.50.23.8-0.53.1%4.3%4.1%
Jimmy GrahamCHITE92.9-0.5002.9-0.40.0%5.4%4.1%
Larry Rountree IIILACRB83.4-1.43-1.20.4-0.221.4%0.6%4.1%
Eno BenjaminARIRB43.50.42.80.70.7-0.314.8%1.0%4.0%
Noah BrownDALWR103.9-0.8003.9-0.50.0%4.8%4.0%
Rodney SmithCARRB23.51.4003.51.40.0%5.0%4.0%
Ronald Jones IITBRB114.40.43.50.50.9-0.122.9%0.9%3.9%
Jermar JeffersonDETRB33.54.21.541.90.29.4%2.6%3.9%
Chris EvansCINRB82.91.40.6-0.12.21.53.3%3.9%3.9%
Collin JohnsonNYGWR84.2-1.8004.2-0.80.0%4.5%3.9%
Marlon MackINDRB63.4-1.22.2-0.51.1-0.610.8%1.6%3.9%
Jalen RichardLVRB63.4-1.20.5-0.42.9-0.62.7%4.2%3.9%
Harrison BryantCLETE1230.10030.10.0%5.4%3.8%
Juwan JohnsonNOTE93.50.7003.50.70.0%5.1%3.7%
Tommy TrembleCARTE123.300.20.43.1-0.61.1%4.4%3.7%
Ty MontgomeryNOWR93.4-10.7-0.42.7-0.52.9%3.9%3.6%
Dez FitzpatrickTENWR34.80.5004.80.50.0%5.1%3.6%
Ray-Ray McCloudPITWR103.8-0.400.13.8-0.50.0%4.3%3.6%
Kendall HintonDENWR930.70030.50.0%4.4%3.6%
Foster MoreauLVTE113.10.8003.11.50.0%4.4%3.5%
Phillip LindsayMIARB113.9-0.62.9-0.80.90.315.5%1.0%3.5%
Brandon ZylstraCARWR93.11003.110.0%4.4%3.5%
Ian ThomasCARTE113.1-0.6003.1-0.10.0%4.4%3.5%
Tavon AustinJACWR83.30003.300.0%4.1%3.5%
Denzel MimsNYJWR63.4-0.1003.4-0.10.0%4.5%3.5%
Josh PalmerLACWR112.90.60.102.80.60.7%4.0%3.5%
Justin JacksonLACRB72.90.11.10.41.8-0.37.9%2.6%3.5%
Anthony FirkserTENTE104.6-1.1004.6-1.10.0%4.9%3.5%
Kenny StillsNOWR93.2-1.30.1-0.13.1-1.10.4%4.5%3.4%
Jaret PattersonWASRB82.7-11.8-0.50.9-0.512.5%1.4%3.4%
Royce FreemanCARRB73-1.31.8-0.71.2-0.69.7%1.7%3.4%
Anthony SchwartzCLEWR102.7-0.60.2-0.12.5-0.50.8%4.5%3.4%
Marcus JohnsonTENWR74.5-10.1-0.24.4-0.80.3%4.7%3.4%
Adam ShaheenMIATE93.7-1.1003.7-0.90.0%4.0%3.3%
Keke CouteeINDWR12.9-1.4002.9-1.40.0%4.3%3.3%
Cam SimsWASWR72.60.50.102.40.60.7%3.7%3.3%
KhaDarel HodgeDETWR92.9-1.5002.9-1.60.0%4.0%3.3%
Malik TurnerDALWR73.20.2003.20.20.0%3.9%3.3%
Geoff SwaimTENTE114.3-0.1004.3-0.10.0%4.6%3.2%
Lil'Jordan HumphreyNOWR530.70030.90.0%4.3%3.2%
Deon JacksonINDRB12.8-1.62.8-1.60013.8%0.0%3.2%
Shi SmithCARWR32.8-1.30.1-0.22.7-1.10.5%3.9%3.2%
Mack HollinsMIAWR113.50.8003.50.90.0%3.8%3.2%
Darrynton EvansTENRB14.2-0.41.8-1.12.40.74.5%2.6%3.2%
John RossNYGWR83.41.50.10.13.41.40.7%3.7%3.1%
Travis HomerSEARB102.21.40.60.11.60.73.0%3.2%3.1%
OJ HowardTBTE103.5-0.2003.5-0.20.0%3.6%3.1%
Patrick TaylorGBRB22.7-1.82-1.10.7-0.211.8%1.0%3.1%
Ashton DulinINDWR122.7-0.10.1-0.12.600.5%3.9%3.1%
Wayne GallmanATLRB62.9-0.72.3-0.50.7-0.213.5%0.9%3.1%
N'Keal HarryNEWR72.60.2002.60.20.0%4.2%3.0%
Demetric FeltonCLERB92.41.60.4-0.221.81.6%3.6%3.0%
Jerick McKinnonKCRB102.7-0.60.402.3-0.62.3%3.2%3.0%
Chris HoganNOWR52.80002.800.0%4.0%3.0%
Stephen AndersonLACTE112.50002.50.10.0%3.6%3.0%
Equanimeous St BrownGBWR92.6-10.10.12.4-10.6%3.4%3.0%
Dee EskridgeSEAWR32-0.60.50.31.6-0.82.5%3.2%2.9%
Josiah DeguaraGBTE112.50.1002.50.10.0%3.5%2.9%
Marcedes LewisGBTE122.5-0.3002.5-0.30.0%3.5%2.9%
Godwin IgwebuikeDETRB42.530.72.91.80.14.4%2.5%2.8%
Jesper HorstedCHITE320.40020.40.0%3.7%2.8%
Dede WestbrookMINWR92.2-0.6002.2-0.50.0%3.6%2.8%
Codey McElroyTBTE23.1-3.1003.1-2.60.0%3.2%2.8%
Joshua KelleyLACRB52.3-0.51.2-0.41.1-0.18.6%1.6%2.7%
Buddy HowellLARRB12.5-1.42.5-1.40015.0%0.0%2.7%
Cameron BatsonTENWR33.600.40.13.3-0.11.0%3.5%2.7%
Breshad PerrimanTBWR23-1.20.2-0.32.8-0.91.3%2.9%2.7%
Antoine WesleyARIWR92.20002.200.0%3.3%2.5%
Dax MilneWASWR92-0.4002-0.40.0%3.1%2.5%
Isaiah FordMIAWR82.70.3002.70.30.0%2.9%2.4%
Isaiah McKenzieBUFWR102-0.40.70.21.3-0.65.1%1.9%2.4%
Jauan JenningsSFWR102.10.4002.10.40.0%3.5%2.4%
Travis BenjaminSFWR32.1-2.1002.1-2.10.0%3.5%2.4%
Ben SkowronekLARWR62.2-0.9002.2-0.70.0%2.9%2.4%
Jeff SmithNYJWR72.3-0.10-0.12.300.0%3.1%2.4%
Josh OliverBALTE92-0.6002-0.60.0%3.0%2.4%
Sean McKeonDALTE42.30.8002.30.80.0%2.8%2.3%
Jaelon DardenTBWR52.6-0.30.10.12.4-0.40.7%2.5%2.3%
Tommy SweeneyBUFTE111.9-0.1001.9-0.10.0%2.8%2.3%
Drew SampleCINTE101.7-0.6001.7-0.60.0%3.1%2.3%
Eric SaubertDENTE111.9-0.2001.9-0.10.0%2.8%2.3%
Damiere ByrdCHIWR111.6-0.1001.6-0.10.0%3.0%2.2%
Frank DarbyATLWR22.1-1002.1-10.0%2.7%2.2%
Chris MyarickNYGTE32.40.6002.40.60.0%2.6%2.2%
Jody FortsonKCTE621.60021.60.0%2.8%2.2%
MyCole PruittTENTE122.90.9002.90.90.0%3.1%2.2%
Mike ThomasCINWR71.6-0.1001.6-0.10.0%2.9%2.2%
Willie Snead IVCARWR81.9-1001.9-10.0%2.7%2.1%
James ProcheBALWR91.80.4001.80.40.0%2.7%2.1%
Noah GrayKCTE91.9-0.6001.9-0.60.0%2.6%2.1%
Jakeem GrantCHIWR101.5-0.70.201.4-0.51.1%2.6%2.1%
Kylin HillGBRB41.8-0.81.1-0.60.6-0.36.5%0.9%2.1%
Kylen GransonINDTE121.8-0.3001.8-0.30.0%2.7%2.1%
Auden TateCINWR71.50.3001.50.50.0%2.7%2.0%
Penny HartSEAWR101.4-0.7001.4-0.60.0%2.8%2.0%
Kalen BallagePITRB82.1-1.30.7-0.21.4-14.3%1.6%2.0%
Trent SherfieldSFWR111.7-0.3001.7-0.30.0%2.8%2.0%
CJ BoardNYGWR62.1-0.50.102-0.30.7%2.2%1.9%
Nick VannettNOTE21.83.8001.83.80.0%2.6%1.9%
Lee SmithATLTE91.80.3001.80.30.0%2.3%1.9%
David MooreDENWR21.6-1.6001.6-1.60.0%2.4%1.9%
Duke JohnsonMIARB12.1-0.32.1-0.30011.2%0.0%1.9%
Jesse JamesCHITE101.30.4001.30.40.0%2.4%1.8%
Christian BlakeATLWR61.7-0.8001.7-0.80.0%2.2%1.8%
Nick BoyleBALTE11.5-1.5001.5-1.50.0%2.2%1.8%
David Sills VNYGWR11.9-1.9001.9-1.90.0%2.0%1.8%
Elijhaa PennyNYGRB101.90.11.10.30.7-0.27.8%0.8%1.8%
Josh GordonKCWR71.5-1001.5-10.0%2.1%1.7%
Ke'Shawn VaughnTBRB21.8-0.21.8-0.20011.8%0.0%1.6%
Zach GentryPITTE111.7-0.5001.7-0.50.0%1.9%1.6%
Kevin WhiteNOWR51.5-0.6001.5-0.60.0%2.2%1.6%
Kevin WhiteNOWR51.5-0.6001.5-0.60.0%2.2%1.6%
Devin SmithJACWR11.5-1.5001.5-1.50.0%1.9%1.6%
Luke FarrellJACTE101.5-0.4001.5-0.40.0%1.9%1.6%
Tyron JohnsonJACWR51.5-0.8001.5-0.80.0%1.9%1.6%
Tommy HudsonTENTE42.1-0.6002.1-0.60.0%2.2%1.6%
Chris HerndonMINTE101.2-0.6001.200.0%2.0%1.5%
Blake BellKCTE101.3-0.3001.2-0.30.0%1.7%1.4%
Phillip DorsettSEAWR31-0.5001-0.50.0%2.0%1.4%
Damarea CrockettDENRB11.2-0.51.2-0.5007.3%0.0%1.4%
Anthony McFarland JrPITRB21.5-0.30.9-0.80.60.45.6%0.7%1.4%
Dezmon PatmonINDWR31.2-0.6001.2-0.60.0%1.8%1.4%
Michael StrachanINDWR51.2-0.3001.2-0.30.0%1.8%1.4%
Scotty MillerTBWR31.5-0.5001.5-0.50.0%1.6%1.3%
Corey ClementDALRB51.3-0.61-0.60.306.2%0.4%1.3%
Devine OzigboNORB21.2-0.60.4-0.60.801.6%1.2%1.3%
Dare OgunbowaleJACRB61.20.10.5-0.20.70.33.7%0.9%1.3%
John BatesWASTE1010.40010.30.0%1.6%1.3%
Patrick LairdMIARB41.4-0.20.101.30.10.5%1.4%1.3%
Amari RodgersGBWR91.1-0.20.101.1-0.30.6%1.6%1.3%
KJ HillLACWR410.50010.50.0%1.4%1.2%
Diontae SpencerDENWR71-0.9001-0.90.0%1.5%1.2%
Dwayne WashingtonNORB41.100.5-0.10.70.12.0%1.0%1.2%
Charlie WoernerSFTE111-0.1001-0.10.0%1.7%1.1%
Colby ParkinsonSEATE60.8-0.3000.8-0.30.0%1.6%1.1%
Malik TaylorGBWR61-0.4001-0.40.0%1.4%1.1%
Benny SnellPITRB91.2-0.50.8-0.30.4-0.24.9%0.4%1.1%
Kevin RaderPITTE11.2-0.1001.2-0.10.0%1.3%1.1%
John KellyCLERB10.90.40.90.4003.7%0.0%1.1%
Geronimo AllisonDETWR31-1001-10.0%1.4%1.1%
Isaiah CoulterCHIWR20.8-0.8000.8-0.80.0%1.5%1.1%
Pharoh CooperNYGWR31.2-0.60.101.1-0.60.7%1.2%1.1%
Andre RobertsLACWR50.90.30.3-0.10.60.32.1%0.9%1.1%
Chris ManhertzJACTE1110.50010.50.0%1.2%1.1%
John BrownJACWR31-1001-10.0%1.2%1.1%
Antony AuclairHOUTE100.70.6000.70.60.0%1.2%1.0%
Darrell DanielsARITE90.9-0.7000.9-0.60.0%1.3%1.0%
Jacques PatrickSFRB10.90.30.90.3003.3%0.0%1.0%
Raheem MostertSFRB10.91.10.91.1003.3%0.0%1.0%
Greg WardPHIWR110.70.9000.70.90.0%1.5%1.0%
Ihmir Smith-MarsetteMINWR20.80000.800.0%1.3%1.0%
Brock WrightDETTE50.9-0.2000.9-0.20.0%1.2%1.0%
Tom KennedyDETWR60.9-0.4000.9-0.30.0%1.2%1.0%
Jonathan WardARIRB30.8-0.10.8-0.1004.2%0.0%0.9%
Daniel HelmLVTE40.8-0.8000.8-0.80.0%1.1%0.9%
Derek CarrierLVTE40.80.1000.80.10.0%1.1%0.9%
Jack StollPHITE110.6-0.2000.6-0.20.0%1.3%0.9%
Cody WhitePITWR50.9-0.2000.9-0.20.0%1.0%0.9%
Parker HesseATLTE50.8-0.2000.8-0.20.0%1.0%0.8%
Mike BooneDENRB20.70000.700.0%1.0%0.8%
Darren FellsTBTE80.90.1000.90.10.0%0.9%0.8%
Deon YelderTBTE20.9-0.4000.9-0.40.0%0.9%0.8%
Ross DwelleySFTE100.70.8000.70.80.0%1.2%0.8%
Luke StockerMINTE50.60000.600.0%1.0%0.8%
Cethan CarterMIATE60.8-0.2000.8-0.20.0%0.9%0.7%
Cyril Grayson JrTBWR20.85.2000.85.20.0%0.8%0.7%
Demetrius HarrisARITE100.6-0.6000.6-0.60.0%0.9%0.7%
Kene NwangwuMINRB20.56.30.50.3002.8%0.0%0.6%
Trevon WescoNYJTE90.6-0.2000.6-0.20.0%0.8%0.6%
Tyree JacksonPHITE30.4-0.4000.4-0.40.0%0.9%0.6%
Trenton CannonSFRB30.5-0.30.5-0.3001.8%0.0%0.6%
Dominique DafneyGBTE50.5-0.2000.5-0.20.0%0.7%0.6%
Ryan NallCHIRB50.400.100.300.6%0.6%0.6%
Gary BrightwellNYGRB30.60.10.100.40.10.7%0.4%0.6%
Marcus KempKCWR100.5-0.1000.5-0.10.0%0.7%0.6%
Ben EllefsonMINTE40.4-0.4000.4-0.40.0%0.7%0.5%
Jake KumerowBUFWR90.4-0.4000.4-0.40.0%0.6%0.5%
Tre' McKittyLACTE40.40000.400.0%0.6%0.5%
Tyrie ClevelandDENWR40.4-0.4000.4-0.40.0%0.6%0.5%
Miles BoykinBALWR40.40000.400.0%0.6%0.5%
Kaden SmithNYGTE90.50.2000.50.20.0%0.5%0.5%
Alex EricksonCARWR120.40.3000.40.30.0%0.6%0.5%
Hunter LongMIATE30.5-0.5000.5-0.50.0%0.5%0.5%
JJ Arcega-WhitesidePHIWR110.30.2000.30.20.0%0.7%0.4%
Garrett GriffinNOTE110.40.1000.40.10.0%0.6%0.4%
Stanley MorganCINWR50.3-0.1000.3-0.10.0%0.5%0.4%
Trenton IrwinCINWR50.30.4000.30.40.0%0.5%0.4%
Racey McMathTENWR40.5-0.5000.5-0.50.0%0.5%0.4%
Tyler DavisGBTE50.30000.300.0%0.4%0.3%
Kendall BlantonLARTE40.30000.300.0%0.4%0.3%
Mekhi SargentTENRB20.4-0.20.4-0.2001.0%0.0%0.3%
Gunner OlszewskiNEWR60.20.3000.20.30.0%0.3%0.2%
Jake FunkLARRB20.20.10.20.1001.2%0.0%0.2%
Johnny MundtLARTE60.20.2000.20.20.0%0.3%0.2%
La'Mical PerineNYJRB20.2-0.10.2-0.1000.9%0.0%0.2%
Eric TomlinsonBALTE100.10000.100.0%0.1%0.1%
Colin ThompsonCARTE90.1-0.1000.1-0.10.0%0.1%0.1%

Week 12 Expected Points

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Blair Andrews

Managing Editor, Author of The Wrong Read, Occasional Fantasy Football League Winner. All opinions are someone else's.

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Can Cleveland Throw in the Weather? The Wrong Read, Week 12 – Thursday Night Preview

Welcome to The Wrong Read. This weekly article uses advanced team-level metrics to preview the week’s upcoming matchups. The goal is to try to understand how an upcoming matchup might play out in terms of each offense’s ability to execute their game plan. How successful will they be when trying to pass? How much will they be able to run the ball? It’s impossible to…...

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The Raiders Might Not Find Any Deals This Black Friday, But Everyone Is Thankful for Brock Bowers: The Wrong Read, Week 13 – Thanksgiving Preview

Welcome to The Wrong Read. This weekly article uses advanced team-level metrics to preview the week’s upcoming matchups. The goal is to try to understand how an upcoming matchup might play out in terms of each offense’s ability to execute their game plan. How successful will they be when trying to pass? How much will they be able to run the ball? It’s impossible to…...

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Are We About to Get an Epic Performance from Jahmyr Gibbs? The Wrong Read, Week 12

Welcome to The Wrong Read. This weekly article uses advanced team-level metrics to preview the week’s upcoming matchups. The goal is to try to understand how an upcoming matchup might play out in terms of each offense’s ability to execute their game plan. How successful will they be when trying to pass? How much will they be able to run the ball? It’s impossible to…...

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Can Cleveland Throw in the Weather? The Wrong Read, Week 12 – Thursday Night Preview

Welcome to The Wrong Read. This weekly article uses advanced team-level metrics to preview the week’s upcoming matchups. The goal is to try to understand how an upcoming matchup might play out in terms of each offense’s ability to execute their game plan. How successful will they be when trying to pass? How much will they be able to run the ball? It’s impossible to…...

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