Blair Andrews uses the Weekly Stat Explorer, the RotoViz Screener, and the Advanced Stat Explorer to look into the future and determine which AFC backfields are ripe for shakeups ahead of Week 3. Are some of our favorite rookies ready to make the jump to lead back? Are some grizzled veterans getting too grizzled to be effective? Is Derrick Henry now a three-down back?
Our goal with the Zero RB Watch List is to help you locate RB breakouts and waiver adds before they happen, but this column isn’t just for Zero RB owners. We’re just as focused on the high-profile backs. Understanding workloads is key to making tough redraft and dynasty trades.
The RotoViz Screener and NFL Stat Explorer provide a smorgasbord of data as we dive into the advanced stats for every team. Much of the focus is on how RBs score their points. We emphasize expected points (EP) and fantasy points over expectation (FPOE) to better understand each player’s fantasy volume. Being able to conceptualize the relationship between touches and fantasy points is the most important element of making good RB decisions, whether that’s start/sit or waiver pickups.
This year we’ll also be featuring metrics from the Advanced Stat Explorer, including elements like broken tackles, yards after contact, evasion percentage, stuff rate, and more.
Check out Shawn Siegele’s companion piece on the NFC.