The Jaguars Backfield Presents an Opportunity to Boost Your Win Rates, But at What Cost? Small-Gap RBs on 2 Polarizing Teams

Corbin Young
July 27, 2021

Last time we identified a couple of bargains at the running back position with a large ADP gap. We used research by Jack Miller on the ADP gap between RB teammates to identify Myles Gaskin and Mike Davis. Both running backs hold an ADP gap greater than 98.5 with their team’s RB2, which qualifies as a big-gap running back. However, small-gap backfields also provide an opportunity to find better-than-average win rates.

When looking at Jack’s research, we find that S1 running backs score slightly more than S2 running backs. However, S2 backs have higher win rates and hit rates than S1 backs. Seeing that S2 backs can provide above-average win rates, let’s look at S1 and S2 backs on a couple of polarizing teams.

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Corbin Young

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Veterans and Young Running Backs: 2 Small Gap Backfields Offer Opportunities for a Variety of Strategic Approaches

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Last time, we looked at small gap running backs on two teams with new offensive coordinators to identify undervalued players based on their ADP. Today we’ll cover two more small gap running backs, including a veteran and a younger option. The idea of small gap and big gap RBs comes from Jack Miller’s research on the win and hit rates for big or small gap backs,…...