We Know We Want Young WRs, But Can Draft Age Help Us Win Rookie Drafts? The Wrong Read, No. 70

Blair Andrews
May 6, 2021

It’s not an overstatement to say we’re obsessed with age at RotoViz. This is especially true when it comes to wide receiver prospects. Breakout age is one of our favorite metrics. We always prefer receivers who declare early. And draft age has long been a key piece of our wide receiver evaluation. It’s been a few years since I’ve looked specifically at draft age, so a number of questions arise: Does draft age still make a difference? And if it does, does it still help us beat draft position? Or has the NFL caught on more fully to the advantage younger WRs have over their older counterparts?

The Draft Age Gulf Is Shocking

If we split NFL WRs by their draft age and then find their average PPR points scored per season, as before, we again find some drastic results.

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here

Please subscribe For Full Access to all RotoViz content and tools!

What’s included in your subscription??

Exclusive Access to RotoViz Study Hall
- A treasure trove of our most insightful articles that will teach you the metrics that matter, time-tested winning strategies, the approaches that will give you an edge, and teach you how to be an effective fantasy manager.
Revolutionary Tools
- Including the NFL Stat Explorer, Weekly GLSP Projections, NCAA Prospect Box Score Scout, Combine Explorer, Range of Outcomes App, DFS Lineup Optimizer, Best Ball Suite,and many, many, more.
Groundbreaking Articles
- RotoViz is home of the original Zero-RB article and continues to push fantasy gamers forward as the go-to destination for evidence-based analysis and strategic advantages.
Weekly Projections
- Built using RotoViz’s unique GLSP approach.
Expert Rankings
And a whole lot more…

Blair Andrews

Managing Editor, Author of The Wrong Read, Occasional Fantasy Football League Winner. All opinions are someone else's.

4 Running Back Prospects Whose College Production Points to Outsized Returns, and 4 Potential Red Flags: 2025 Backfield Dominator Ratings

Blair Andrews March 27, 2025

Collegiate production is still among the most undervalued measurements for running back prospects. In large part this is because we lack many good ways to measure it. Both rushing and receiving numbers depend on scheme, personnel, offensive and defensive strength, and a host of other factors. This can make many of the raw counting stats misleading. The solution is to control for these factors as…...

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here

Win Probabilities and Contrarian Value Picks for Your 2025 March Madness Bracket

Blair Andrews March 20, 2025

The NFL free agency period is more or less over, which can only mean one thing: March Madness time! Just like last year, I’m leveraging advanced team metrics and simulations to find value in the bracket. For a more detailed look at the methodology, check out the introduction to last year’s article. This year I’m adding two tools to the analytical arsenal. The first is…...

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here

Evan Engram Becomes Sean Payton’s Latest Joker, But Can He Live Up to the Inevitable Jimmy Graham Comparisons?

Blair Andrews March 14, 2025

The Broncos have signed Evan Engram to a two-year, $23 million contract with $16.5 million guaranteed, and Sean Payton finally has his Joker: During an interview with Kay Adams of the “Up and Adams Show” at the Super Bowl earlier this month, Payton discussed a key need in 2025. Adams started the conversation by suggesting Denver needed a veteran wide receiver. Payton countered, “I would…...