The Offensive Line Continuity Landscape Ahead of the 2021 NFL Draft
Image Credit: Robin Alam/Icon Sportswire. Pictured: Mekhi Becton.

Patrick Mahomes can make up for a lot, but that shocking day in Tampa confirmed the existence of limits, as both his stalwart protectors at offensive tackle yielded to their understudy. Eric Fisher and Mitchell Schwartz bookended an offensive line that had returned a majority of starters in every season since the Chiefs traded up for Mahomes in 2017. Now both free agents recover from season-ending injuries.

Now Kansas City lands at the bottom of the league in offensive line continuity — only out-shuffled by the Chargers, who end up in this position just about every year. I would trust Mahomes and Andy Reid to deal with this challenge as successfully as anyone. However, as my work over the years and at RotoViz indicates, OL continuity is a meaningful layer in offensive production.

This article is the first in my latest offseason series on projected offensive line continuity. In this metric, incumbent starters qualify by taking a majority of snaps the previous season or entering that previous season as a starter. Through my past articles and ongoing tweets on the subject, we can compare across the league since the 2011 collective bargaining agreement.

My first 2021 post on the matter will look at the pre-draft landscape and then identify starting spots that are still likely to see change this offseason. Here’s the current offensive line continuity outlook:

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Offensive Line Continuity Outlook and Fantasy Impact for All 32 NFL Teams Entering 2024

Thomas Emerick files a final update on offensive line continuity before the season starts. Which teams will be best able to protect their quarterbacks and make room for their running backs, and which teams might struggle in the early-going? Just three teams have emerged in September with their entire starting offensive line from last year intact. If you’re Bijan Robinson and Kirk Cousins, Jonathan Taylor and Anthony Richardson,…...

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Pittsburgh Starts 2 Rookies and Other Offensive Line Shakeups Following the NFL Draft

Hitting offensive line draft picks is the best thing you can do for the trenches on that side of the ball. It’s still useful for fantasy to evaluate how much personnel turnover each team will work through up front, and how rookies fit in. I’ve detailed the correlation between offensive line continuity and production metrics over the past 10 years, six of those at RotoViz…....

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Jim Harbaugh Is Committed to Winning in the Trenches, But Will Justin Herbert Benefit? Offensive Line Continuity in Flux Entering the 2024 NFL Draft

Jim Harbaugh is trying to outflank me on the importance of offensive line play — he must’ve known my pre-draft OL continuity update for all 32 teams was about to drop. We actually now kick off Year 10 of this series on the importance of incumbency in the trenches and its relation to offensive production. Granted, Harbaugh was running it back each year with a…...

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Offensive Line Continuity Outlook and Fantasy Impact for All 32 NFL Teams Entering 2024

Thomas Emerick files a final update on offensive line continuity before the season starts. Which teams will be best able to protect their quarterbacks and make room for their running backs, and which teams might struggle in the early-going? Just three teams have emerged in September with their entire starting offensive line from last year intact. If you’re Bijan Robinson and Kirk Cousins, Jonathan Taylor and Anthony Richardson,…...

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Pittsburgh Starts 2 Rookies and Other Offensive Line Shakeups Following the NFL Draft

Hitting offensive line draft picks is the best thing you can do for the trenches on that side of the ball. It’s still useful for fantasy to evaluate how much personnel turnover each team will work through up front, and how rookies fit in. I’ve detailed the correlation between offensive line continuity and production metrics over the past 10 years, six of those at RotoViz…....

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Jim Harbaugh Is Committed to Winning in the Trenches, But Will Justin Herbert Benefit? Offensive Line Continuity in Flux Entering the 2024 NFL Draft

Jim Harbaugh is trying to outflank me on the importance of offensive line play — he must’ve known my pre-draft OL continuity update for all 32 teams was about to drop. We actually now kick off Year 10 of this series on the importance of incumbency in the trenches and its relation to offensive production. Granted, Harbaugh was running it back each year with a…...

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