Implied Totals
LAC – 25.5
LV – 28.5
O/U – 54
Key Injuries
The Chargers are a bit of a train wreck heading into this game. Austin Ekeler, Keenan Allen, and Mike Williams have all been limited in practice this week with varying injuries. If any combination of these players were to miss, it would open up significant value.
Josh Jacobs has been limited with the same hip injury that had him questionable leading up to Week 14. The assumption is that he’ll play. It’s another injury we need to monitor, however.
Pace and Play Calling Tendencies
These two teams rank 15th and 16th respectively in situation-neutral pace over the last month. This game should be fast enough to live up to the 54-point total, especially if the Chargers can take an early lead and force the Raiders to be more aggressive.
Since the start of Week 10, the Chargers have the fifth-highest neutral pass rate in the entire league. We can trust them to play aggressively in almost any script. Over that same span, the Raiders are throwing in neutral situations just shy of 60% of the time. This is a significant upgrade for fantasy purposes. We do know, however, that Jon Gruden’s offense likes to slow games down when playing with a lead.