In my previous piece, I used the RotoViz Projection Machine and Range of Outcomes tools to see if Courtland Sutton is poised to vault into the elite tier of wide receivers. To follow that up, I wanted to go back to those same tools and project a range of scenarios for the most fantasy-relevant players on the Denver Broncos.

If Drew Lock takes a big step forward, what fantasy implications does that have on the running and passing game? Is there a realistic chance that the offense sputters and can’t gain traction? Let’s use the tools to take a closer look.

Melvin Gordon & Phillip Lindsay

The significant offseason acquisition, Melvin Gordon inked to a two year/$16 million deal with the Broncos. Joining the undrafted free agent star in Phillip Lindsay, Gordon appears slated to handle the lead-back duties based on the money they paid him and his track record of production.

In his career, Gordon has handled around 63% of the rushing attempts for the Chargers. He’s done that by way of averaging over 15 carries/game in his five years. Unfortunately, he has only one full season to his name, and he has four seasons with a per rush average of fewer than four yards/carry.

For Lindsay, he’s seen just over 13 carries/game in his first two seasons. While he may be the incumbent, Gordon will likely get the first crack at the 1A role, whereas Lindsay should compliment well in a 1B role. Looking at the Range of Outcomes tool, Lindsay slots in at RB16 and Gordon slots in at RB17.

The tool generates almost an identical stat line for both Gordon and Lindsay on a per-game basis. A closer look shows that Lindsay has a slighter wider range of potential outcomes from his high and low ranking than Gordon. But of course the Range of Outcomes tool doesn’t know Gordon has changed teams, which arguably widens his actual range of outcomes.