The Tour is heading north to TPC Twin Cities for the second year in a row. The course is a par 72 that plays a touch over 7,160 yards. The field this week certainly has less star power than we saw at the Memorial. Still, there’s another Millionaire Maker on DraftKings and plenty of other great GPPs available across the industry.
Buy or Sell
Paul Casey ($10,100) looks like he could be one of the most-owned golfers on the slate this week. We know from our game theory research on this range that we should probably avoid him if he turns out to be the chalk. My simulator has him with just the seventh-most wins this week. Certainly, a win would have him pay off quite well, but his recent play would make a victory somewhat shocking. Casey’s coming off of a missed cut at the Memorial that saw him lose more than 4.5 strokes from his short game. He was slightly above average on approach, but he hasn’t looked sharp since the restart. In his only other start since the tour resumed play, he finished T32. I’m comfortable going up to about 60% of his projected ownership but will definitely be underweight.
