Why Do We Care About Expected Points? An Explanation in 4 Correlation Matrices

Blair Andrews
December 17, 2019

If you spend any time reading RotoViz, eventually you’ll hear us talking about expected points. Expected points (EP) are the number of fantasy points that a target or carry should score based on game situation — down, distance, and field position. In other words, expected points allow us to transform raw opportunity, such as carries and targets, directly into fantasy points. From there we can...

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here

Please subscribe For Full Access to all RotoViz content and tools!

What’s included in your subscription??

Exclusive Access to RotoViz Study Hall
- A treasure trove of our most insightful articles that will teach you the metrics that matter, time-tested winning strategies, the approaches that will give you an edge, and teach you how to be an effective fantasy manager.
Revolutionary Tools
- Including the NFL Stat Explorer, Weekly GLSP Projections, NCAA Prospect Box Score Scout, Combine Explorer, Range of Outcomes App, DFS Lineup Optimizer, Best Ball Suite,and many, many, more.
Groundbreaking Articles
- RotoViz is home of the original Zero-RB article and continues to push fantasy gamers forward as the go-to destination for evidence-based analysis and strategic advantages.
Weekly Projections
- Built using RotoViz’s unique GLSP approach.
Expert Rankings
And a whole lot more…

Blair Andrews

Managing Editor, Author of The Wrong Read, Occasional Fantasy Football League Winner. All opinions are someone else's.

Michael Penix Debuts In a Soft Matchup and James Conner Adds His Name to 2024’s List of Dominant Veteran RBs: The Wrong Read, Week 16

Blair Andrews December 21, 2024

Blair Andrews looks at the Week 16 matchups through the lens of the advanced team stats. Does Carolina have any chance of slowing down James Conner?

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here

You Can’t Stop Derrick Henry; You Can Only Hope to Contain Him: The Wrong Read, Week 16 – Saturday Preview

Blair Andrews December 21, 2024

Blair Andrews previews the Saturday matchups for Week 16 using the advanced team stats and other RotoViz tools. Can the Steelers' otherwise effective defense limit Derrick Henry?

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here

Bo Nix Is Proving the Doubters Wrong Behind Denver’s Surprisingly Good Offensive Line: The Wrong Read, Week 16 – Thursday Night Preview

Blair Andrews December 19, 2024

Blair Andrews previews the Thursday night game between the Broncos and the Chargers. Can Bo Nix build on his promising start in a formidable divisional matchup?

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here

Michael Penix Debuts In a Soft Matchup and James Conner Adds His Name to 2024’s List of Dominant Veteran RBs: The Wrong Read, Week 16

Blair Andrews December 21, 2024

Blair Andrews looks at the Week 16 matchups through the lens of the advanced team stats. Does Carolina have any chance of slowing down James Conner?

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here

You Can’t Stop Derrick Henry; You Can Only Hope to Contain Him: The Wrong Read, Week 16 – Saturday Preview

Blair Andrews December 21, 2024

Blair Andrews previews the Saturday matchups for Week 16 using the advanced team stats and other RotoViz tools. Can the Steelers' otherwise effective defense limit Derrick Henry?

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here

Bo Nix Is Proving the Doubters Wrong Behind Denver’s Surprisingly Good Offensive Line: The Wrong Read, Week 16 – Thursday Night Preview

Blair Andrews December 19, 2024

Blair Andrews previews the Thursday night game between the Broncos and the Chargers. Can Bo Nix build on his promising start in a formidable divisional matchup?