The RotoViz DRAFT Roster Construction Tool allows us to analyze the win rates of specific roster constructions. In the earlier installments of the DRAFT NFL Best Ball Roster Construction Guide, we explored the win rates of teams that drafted six QBs and TEs as well as teams that limited themselves to four onesie positions.

Here we will explore the win rates for teams that drafted a combination of five QBs and TEs. We will do so using Shawn Siegele’s optimal windows for drafting QBs and TEs:

• 2-QB (and 3-QB) Window: QB1 in Rounds 6-11; QB2 in Rounds 8-12 (QB3 in Rounds 8-12)
• 2-TE with Early TE: TE1 in Rounds 1-4
• 2-TE (and 3-TE) with Late TEs: TE1 and TE2 in Rounds 9-15 (TE3 in Round 9-15).

Draft Capital Agnostic

First we’ll just get a sense of how effective the “3-QB, 2-TE” and “2-QB, 3-TE” strategies are, irrespective of draft capital, in order to get a base-line of what to expect with the more nuanced draft strategies.

3-QB, 2-TE (Any Round)

2-QB, 3-TE (Any Round)

Simply allocating constructing a roster with any 3-QBs and 2-TEs yielded a +0.7 percent win rate above expectation.((Expected Win Rate = 1/12 = 8.3 percent) We see that drafting 2-QBs and 3-TEs in any round provided a more modest 8.5 percent win rate.

However, at this point in the DRAFT NFL Best Ball Roster Construction Guide, we know that we can supercharge roster construction strategies by drafting positions in specific rounds that are optimized for each position (per Siegele’s research).

3-QB Window, 2-TE Approach with Early TE