Accuracy Wins at Harbour Town’s Small Greens: PGA DFS Course Preview and Trends

Matt Jones
April 16, 2019

The Tiger roars are still echoing through Augusta while the Tour makes it’s way north to Hilton Head Island, South Carolina. The course is a familiar one as the event has been played here at Harbour Town GL since 1969. It’s a par 71 that plays right at 7,100 yards. The greens are the smallest in my database on the entire tour. They are TifEagle bermudagrass and run slower than average. The course is a Pete Dye design and features 54 bunkers and 12 water hazards. Fairways are relatively easy to hit compared to a regular Tour stop, but the field will average about seven percent fewer greens in regulation which leads to five fewer birdie putts across the tournament.

PAST WINNERS

Golfer	Year	Winning Score	DraftKings Points
Satoshi Kodaira	2018	-12	106.5
Wesley Bryan	2017	-13	108.5
Branden Grace	2016	-9	102.5
Jim Furyk	2015	-18	114
Matt Kuchar	2014	-11	106.5

OFF THE TEE

In general, the fairways are easy to hit at Harbour Town. Golfers will pull less than driver off the tee on many occasions since you really need to be in position off the tee to have any shot of hitting these small greens. Since 2010, there have been 49 golfers to finish in the top five of DK scoring. Over that span, just 17 (35 percent) have finished in the top 25 of distance compared to 25 (51 percent) that hit the same threshold in accuracy off the tee.

Driving Accuracy Rank (Last 24 Rounds)	Golfer (Salary)
1	Jim Furyk ($9,400)
2	Chez Reavie ($6,800)
3	Kevin Streelman ($7,200)
4	Ryan Armour ($6,600)
5	Ben Silverman ($6,100)
6	Matt Kuchar ($10,000)
7	Brian Gay ($6,700)
8	Andrew Landry ($6,900)
9	Joel Dahmen ($6,900)
10	Abraham Ancer ($7,600)

ON APPROACH

At an average of 3,700 square feet, these greens are incredibly difficult to hit. If we take a look at that same group of 49 golfers that finished top five in DK scoring, the importance of hitting greens in regulation really shows. Since 2010, 37 (73 percent) of those golfers have finished in the top 25 of greens in regulation.

GIR Rank (Last 24 Rounds)	Golfer (Salary)
1	Matt Kuchar ($10,000)
2	Charles Howell ($8,700)
3	Lucas Glover ($7,800)
4	Jim Furyk ($9,400)
5	Dustin Johnson ($11,600)
6	Jason Kokrak ($8,800)
7	Russel Knox ($7,700)
8	Tommy Fleetwood ($9,200)
9	Ian Poulter ($8,600)
10	Danny Willett ($6,600)

Key Stats

Greens in Regulation
Driving Accuracy
SG: Putting (Bermuda)

Player Name	Salary	Starts	Made Cuts	Missed Cuts	Avg. DK Points	Lowest DK Point Total	Highest DK Point Total	Best Finish Position	Worst Finish Position	Scoring Over Field Average (SOFA)
Dustin Johnson	11600	1	1	0	75	75	75	16	16	25.45
Francesco Molinari	11300	4	3	1	51.4	20	69.5	22	100	4.64
Xander Schauffele	10900	1	1	0	69	69	69	32	32	19.45
Bryson DeChambeau	10400	3	2	1	68.3	17	105	3	100	21.78
Matt Kuchar	10000	9	9	0	73.1	55.5	106.5	1	44	27.42
Patrick Cantlay	9700	2	2	0	88.5	84.5	92.5	3	7	39.53
Jordan Spieth	9500	3	3	0	72.3	66	80	9	12	27.71
Jim Furyk	9400	8	7	1	70.2	28	114	1	100	24
Webb Simpson	9300	8	8	0	71.4	46.5	88	2	66	25.2
Tommy Fleetwood	9200	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Kevin Kisner	9100	6	5	1	64.8	29.5	108	2	100	18.23
Si Woo Kim	9000	2	2	0	85	68.5	101.5	2	14	39.37
Billy Horschel	8900	6	5	1	55.8	19	92	5	100	10.16
Jason Kokrak	8800	7	4	3	46.1	16	74.5	6	100	1.14
Charles Howell III	8700	9	6	3	46.7	18.5	73.5	22	100	0.98
Ian Poulter	8600	5	5	0	70.6	48.5	80.5	7	54	23.13
Matthew Fitzpatrick	8500	4	2	2	47.3	26.5	78.5	14	100	1.89
Sungjae Im	8400	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Branden Grace	8300	3	3	0	87	76.5	102.5	1	11	40.17
Byeong Hun An	8200	2	2	0	75.8	63	88.5	7	59	26.54
Ryan Moore	8100	1	1	0	77	77	77	16	16	27.45
Marc Leishman	8000	8	5	3	47.9	17	70.5	9	100	2.77
Cameron Smith	7900	3	3	0	74.3	65.5	82	15	32	24.89
Justin Harding	7900	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Lucas Glover	7800	9	5	4	44	15.5	73	18	100	-1.69
Charley Hoffman	7800	7	6	1	64.1	28.5	85	6	100	19.07
Russell Knox	7700	5	5	0	74.9	68.5	90.5	2	40	28.53
Luke List	7700	4	2	2	50.9	12	99	3	100	5.53
Rafa Cabrera Bello	7600	1	0	1	25.5	25.5	25.5	100	100	-22.9
Aaron Baddeley	7600	9	6	3	53	21	79	9	100	7.31
Abraham Ancer	7600	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Brandt Snedeker	7500	9	7	2	58.7	19.5	109.5	1	100	13.03
Zach Johnson	7500	8	6	2	53.5	17	98	2	100	8.15
Graeme McDowell	7500	7	6	1	60.2	19.5	96	1	100	14.38
Adam Hadwin	7400	3	2	1	54.3	28.5	77	22	100	7.51
Ollie Schniederjans	7400	2	2	0	76.5	61	92	3	42	27.53
Emiliano Grillo	7400	1	1	0	77.5	77.5	77.5	16	16	27.95
Daniel Berger	7400	1	1	0	51	51	51	72	72	0.63
Russell Henley	7300	5	3	2	49	9.5	78	6	100	4.2
Bud Cauley	7300	5	3	2	48.4	15	83.5	9	100	2.4
Corey Conners	7300	2	0	2	20.8	18.5	23	100	100	-29.21
Keith Mitchell	7300	1	1	0	66	66	66	55	55	16.45
Matt Wallace	7300	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Luke Donald	7200	9	8	1	79.9	30.5	99.5	2	100	34.2
Kevin Streelman	7200	6	6	0	67.5	52	86.5	3	55	22.13
Beau Hossler	7200	1	1	0	77	77	77	16	16	27.45
Andrew Putnam	7200	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Eddie Pepperell	7200	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Danny Lee	7100	5	3	2	50.1	22	70	39	100	3.73
Jonas Blixt	7100	4	3	1	52.4	27	75	14	100	4.87
Chesson Hadley	7100	4	2	2	46.3	21	82.5	7	100	0.39
Charl Schwartzel	7100	3	2	1	51.2	27.5	66	12	100	3.93
Trey Mullinax	7100	1	1	0	54	54	54	70	70	5.6
Adam Schenk	7100	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Brian Harman	7000	7	6	1	59.3	28	84	7	100	14.28
Martin Laird	7000	6	4	2	47.3	17	64.5	32	100	0.5
Martin Kaymer	7000	4	4	0	58.5	49.5	72.5	23	73	13.14
Ryan Palmer	7000	4	4	0	57.9	43.5	77	11	76	12.53
J.J. Spaun	7000	2	1	1	56.5	29.5	83.5	6	100	7.53
Kelly Kraft	7000	2	0	2	23	19.5	26.5	100	100	-25.97
Alexander Noren	7000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Cheng Tsung Pan	6900	2	2	0	65.3	57	73.5	23	44	16.28
Bill Haas	6900	9	6	3	50.5	11	85.5	7	100	4.81
Kevin Na	6900	7	5	2	56.8	16	81.5	4	100	11.2
Nick Taylor	6900	4	3	1	42.5	20.5	65	22	100	-5.01
Andrew Landry	6900	1	1	0	58.5	58.5	58.5	42	42	8.95
Mackenzie Hughes	6900	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Joel Dahmen	6900	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Chris Kirk	6800	8	5	3	45.9	22	59.5	23	100	0.65
Chez Reavie	6800	6	3	3	36.1	19	53	33	100	-9.34
Jonathan Byrd	6800	6	3	3	37.2	22.5	55	31	100	-9.43
Scott Stallings	6800	4	1	3	29.4	12	56.5	55	100	-15.63
Brice Garnett	6800	3	3	0	62.2	52.5	76	11	53	14.93
Nick Watney	6800	1	1	0	64	64	64	32	32	14.45
J.T. Poston	6800	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Brian Gay	6700	8	6	2	53	22	89.5	6	100	7.9
Brian Stuard	6700	6	4	2	48.4	25	78	5	100	1.63
Patton Kizzire	6700	3	2	1	54.8	31.5	66.5	14	100	8.28
Scott Piercy	6700	3	2	1	51	21	74	16	100	4.36
Sam Ryder	6700	1	0	1	21.5	21.5	21.5	100	100	-28.05
Peter Uihlein	6700	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Sam Burns	6700	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Whee Kim	6600	3	2	1	55.3	23.5	78	6	100	8.78
Hudson Swafford	6600	3	1	2	35.3	19.5	65	44	100	-11.88
Ryan Armour	6600	1	1	0	58.5	58.5	58.5	55	55	8.95
Austin Cook	6600	1	1	0	53	53	53	50	50	3.45
Danny Willett	6600	1	0	1	18	18	18	100	100	-30.4
Wyndham Clark	6600	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
John Augenstein	6600	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Jason Dufner	6500	8	7	1	60.8	27.5	84	11	100	14.64
Michael Thompson	6500	6	2	4	38.1	20.5	66	20	100	-8.38
Sam Saunders	6500	5	1	4	35.5	17	84	11	100	-11.97
D.A. Points	6500	4	1	3	34.8	20	70	20	100	-12.7
Shane Lowry	6500	1	1	0	72.5	72.5	72.5	44	44	24.1
Cameron Champ	6500	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Ted Potter Jr.	6400	3	3	0	66.7	58.5	72	16	35	22.32
Stewart Cink	6400	9	6	3	49.9	10	76	14	100	4.26
Rory Sabbatini	6400	7	5	2	57.6	22	78	9	100	12.57
Vaughn Taylor	6400	6	3	3	37.2	13.5	67.5	13	100	-8.14
Alex Cejka	6400	5	4	1	47	11.5	66.5	31	100	-0.28
Morgan Hoffmann	6400	4	2	2	47.8	19.5	80.5	9	100	2.2
Satoshi KODAIRA	6400	1	1	0	106.5	106.5	106.5	1	1	56.95
Harold Varner III	6300	3	2	1	43.5	25.5	63	59	100	-3.06
Ernie Els	6300	7	2	5	31.1	12	63.5	14	100	-13.54
D.J. Trahan	6300	3	2	1	47	24.5	71	46	100	1.12
Richy Werenski	6300	1	0	1	21.5	21.5	21.5	100	100	-28.05
Brandon Harkins	6300	1	0	1	20	20	20	100	100	-29.55
Martin Trainer	6300	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Scott Brown	6200	6	4	2	51.2	26.5	86.5	5	100	5.58
Chris Stroud	6200	6	4	2	42.9	24.5	72.5	6	100	-2.49
Troy Merritt	6200	4	2	2	52.9	20	106.5	3	100	4.14
Jim Herman	6200	2	1	1	32.5	13.5	51.5	51	100	-12.56
Tom Hoge	6200	1	1	0	61	61	61	55	55	11.45
Tyler Duncan	6200	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Davis Love III	6100	6	3	3	34.1	15	50.5	59	100	-12.19
Boo Weekley	6100	8	8	0	58.7	48.5	76	6	75	13.48
Mark Anderson	6100	5	4	1	46	19.5	68	13	100	0.43
Ryan Blaum	6100	2	1	1	42	29.5	54.5	64	100	-6.97
Roger Sloan	6100	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Ben Silverman	6100	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Seamus Power	6100	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
K.J. Choi	6000	7	5	2	50.1	22.5	64	18	100	4.01
Harris English	6000	6	3	3	42.2	6.5	72.5	8	100	-1.94
Rod Pampling	6000	3	3	0	59.5	48	66.5	26	64	10.56
Anirban Lahiri	6000	3	2	1	48.8	20.5	67	44	100	-0.61
Michael Kim	6000	3	2	1	36.8	24	53	76	100	-9.72
Cody Gribble	6000	1	0	1	18.5	18.5	18.5	100	100	-31.05
Adam Long	6000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

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