The Tour heads south of the border this week for the WGC Mexico Championship. If you’ve seen the meme with two Spidermen pointing at each other, you know the deal between Riviera CC and Club de Golf Chapultepec this week. Chapultepec is another par 71 course that plays right around 7,350 yards. It also features poa annua greens and kikuyu grass in the fairways and rough. The course is at extreme altitude, though, so it plays much shorter than the scorecard suggests it will.
PAST WINNERS
| Golfer | Year | Winning Score | DraftKings Points |
| Phil Mickelson | 2018 | -16 | 115.5 |
| Dustin Johnson | 2017 | -14 | 119 |
OFF THE TEE
Since there have only been two editions of this tournament, ten golfers have finished in the top five of DK scoring. That limits our ability to make sweeping generalizations about what’s important here. The Top 5 group tells a different story than the correlations for the entire field. Instead of looking at ranks this week, I want to look at the ranges of each off the tee stat to get a feel for what’s actually going on from a narrower view.
On the one hand, driving distance is about three times more correlated to DK scoring than accuracy. On the other, the rankings have six (60 percent) golfers in the top 25 of accuracy compared to four (40 percent) in the top 25 of distance for the top-five scoring group. When you look at the stats, though, no golfer in that high performing group had a distance average below 298 for the week. Six of them hit less than 60 percent of their fairways.
The most important stat off the tee through two iterations of this tournament has been SG: Off The Tee. It explains nearly 25 percent of DK Scoring and serves as a proxy for good drivers of the ball that have a bit of distance but aren’t complete sprayers off the tee.
| SG:OTT Rank (2019) | Golfer (Salary) |
| 1 | Rory McIlory ($11,100) |
| 2 | Jon Rahm ($10,700) |
| 3 | Bubba Watson ($8,400) |
| 4 | Gary Woodland ($7,900) |
| 5 | Rickie Fowler ($10,300) |
| 6 | Charles Howell ($7,800) |
| 7 | Abraham Ancer ($6,600) |
| 8 | Bryson DeChambeau ($10,000) |
| 9 | Tony Finau ($9,900) |
| 10 | Emiliano Grillo ($6,900) |
ON APPROACH
Hitting greens is king as usual. In fact, greens in regulation explains 33 percent of DK scoring at Chapultepec. Eight of ten golfers who finished in the top five of DK scoring over the past two years finished in the top 25 of greens in regulation, including four in the top 10. The two that didn’t (Jon Rahm and Justin Thomas in 2017) needed to put up top eight putting performances to stay afloat.
| GIR Rank (2018) | Golfer (Salary) |
| 1 | Hideki Matsuyama ($9,000) |
| 2 | Keegan Bradley ($7,000) |
| 3 | Tiger Woods ($9,500) |
| 4 | Charles Howell ($7,800) |
| 5 | Justin Thomas ($11,800) |
| 6 | Matt Kuchar ($7,700) |
| 7 | Phil Mickelson ($9,300) |
| 8 | Rory McIlroy ($11,100) |
| 9 | Ian Poulter ($7,900) |
| 10 | Gary Woodland ($7,900) |
Key Stats
- Greens in Regulation
- SG: Off the Tee
- SG: Putting (Poa)
WGC Mexico - Course History Cheatsheet
| Name | Average DK Points | Lowest DK Point Total | Highest DK Point Total | Best Finish Position | Worst Finish Position | Scoring Over Field Average (SOFA) | Starts | Made Cuts | Missed Cuts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abraham Ancer | 52 | 52 | 52 | 52 | 52 | -13.81 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Kiradech Aphibarnrat | 95.5 | 95.5 | 95.5 | 5 | 5 | 29.69 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Daniel Berger | 76.25 | 75.5 | 77 | 14 | 16 | 12.06 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Adam Bland | 74 | 74 | 74 | 18 | 18 | 8.19 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Dean Burmester | 74 | 74 | 74 | 30 | 30 | 8.19 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Rafael Cabrera-Bello | 82.5 | 58 | 107 | 3 | 38 | 18.31 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Patrick Cantlay | 65 | 65 | 65 | 30 | 30 | -0.81 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Paul Casey | 76.5 | 75 | 78 | 12 | 16 | 12.31 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Kevin Chappell | 61.75 | 57 | 66.5 | 30 | 55 | -2.44 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Jason Dufner | 58.5 | 55 | 62 | 23 | 55 | -5.69 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Paul Dunne | 51 | 51 | 51 | 55 | 55 | -14.81 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Tony Finau | 72 | 72 | 72 | 27 | 27 | 6.19 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Ross Fisher | 80 | 59.5 | 100.5 | 3 | 46 | 15.81 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Matthew Fitzpatrick | 68.5 | 57.5 | 79.5 | 16 | 30 | 4.31 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Tommy Fleetwood | 95.5 | 91 | 100 | 2 | 14 | 31.31 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Rickie Fowler | 63.5 | 59 | 68 | 16 | 37 | -0.69 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Dylan Frittelli | 48.5 | 48.5 | 48.5 | 55 | 55 | -17.31 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Sergio Garcia | 83.5 | 73 | 94 | 7 | 12 | 19.31 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Branden Grace | 63.75 | 63 | 64.5 | 30 | 32 | -0.44 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| GavinKyle Green | 37 | 37 | 37 | 64 | 64 | -28.81 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Adam Hadwin | 81 | 81 | 81 | 9 | 9 | 15.19 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Brian Harman | 91.5 | 91.5 | 91.5 | 5 | 5 | 25.69 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Tyrrell Hatton | 90.75 | 80 | 101.5 | 3 | 10 | 26.56 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Russell Henley | 44.5 | 44.5 | 44.5 | 58 | 58 | -21.31 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Charley Hoffman | 72 | 72 | 72 | 20 | 20 | 6.19 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Yuta Ikeda | 58.5 | 54 | 63 | 46 | 61 | -5.69 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Dustin Johnson | 106.25 | 93.5 | 119 | 1 | 7 | 42.06 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Chan Kim | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100 | 100 | -65.81 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Kevin Kisner | 68.75 | 65 | 72.5 | 11 | 29 | 4.56 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Patton Kizzire | 81.5 | 81.5 | 81.5 | 12 | 12 | 15.69 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Satoshi Kodaira | 55.5 | 55.5 | 55.5 | 54 | 54 | -10.31 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Brooks Koepka | 30.75 | 0 | 61.5 | 48 | 100 | -33.44 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Matt Kuchar | 54 | 42.5 | 65.5 | 20 | 58 | -10.19 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Marc Leishman | 57 | 57 | 57 | 37 | 37 | -8.81 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| David Lipsky | 52.25 | 51.5 | 53 | 48 | 63 | -11.94 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Joost Luiten | 60.75 | 59.5 | 62 | 25 | 37 | -3.44 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Hideki Matsuyama | 33.75 | 0 | 67.5 | 25 | 100 | -30.44 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Phil Mickelson | 102.25 | 89 | 115.5 | 1 | 7 | 38.06 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Yusaku Miyazato | 55 | 55 | 55 | 60 | 60 | -10.81 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Francesco Molinari | 74 | 73 | 75 | 20 | 25 | 9.81 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Alexander Noren | 66 | 54.5 | 77.5 | 14 | 55 | 1.81 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Louis Oosthuizen | 65.25 | 60.5 | 70 | 30 | 48 | 1.06 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Wade Ormsby | 59.5 | 59.5 | 59.5 | 50 | 50 | -6.31 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Pat Perez | 69.5 | 63 | 76 | 20 | 38 | 5.31 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Thomas Pieters | 75.75 | 61.5 | 90 | 5 | 37 | 11.56 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Jon Rahm | 88.5 | 80 | 97 | 3 | 20 | 24.31 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Chez Reavie | 53 | 53 | 53 | 52 | 52 | -12.81 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Patrick Reed | 59 | 55.5 | 62.5 | 37 | 61 | -5.19 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Justin Rose | 65.25 | 60 | 70.5 | 37 | 38 | 1.06 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Brett Rumford | 43 | 43 | 43 | 62 | 62 | -22.81 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Xander Schauffele | 73 | 73 | 73 | 18 | 18 | 7.19 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Charl Schwartzel | 60.5 | 56 | 65 | 38 | 48 | -3.69 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Shubhankar Sharma | 89 | 89 | 89 | 9 | 9 | 23.19 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Webb Simpson | 62 | 62 | 62 | 37 | 37 | -3.81 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Jordan Spieth | 82.25 | 76 | 88.5 | 12 | 14 | 18.06 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Kyle Stanley | 69.5 | 69.5 | 69.5 | 25 | 25 | 3.69 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Brendan Steele | 61.5 | 51.5 | 71.5 | 20 | 48 | -2.69 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Brandon Stone | 49.75 | 47 | 52.5 | 60 | 67 | -14.44 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Justin Thomas | 108.25 | 103 | 113.5 | 2 | 5 | 44.06 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Peter Uihlein | 67 | 67 | 67 | 37 | 37 | 1.19 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Jhonattan Vegas | 65.25 | 62.5 | 68 | 20 | 38 | 1.06 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Bubba Watson | 73.5 | 60 | 87 | 9 | 38 | 9.31 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Bernd Wiesberger | 55 | 51 | 59 | 30 | 45 | -9.19 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Gary Woodland | 66.75 | 62.5 | 71 | 38 | 50 | 2.56 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Byeong-Hun An | 62.5 | 62.5 | 62.5 | 48 | 48 | -0.08 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Sam Brazel | 57.5 | 57.5 | 57.5 | 55 | 55 | -5.08 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Roberto Castro | 53 | 53 | 53 | 45 | 45 | -9.58 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Jason Day | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100 | 100 | -62.58 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Marcus Fraser | 51.5 | 51.5 | 51.5 | 58 | 58 | -11.08 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Jim Furyk | 52 | 52 | 52 | 58 | 58 | -10.58 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Matthew Griffin | 31.5 | 31.5 | 31.5 | 75 | 75 | -31.08 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Emiliano Grillo | 53.5 | 53.5 | 53.5 | 52 | 52 | -9.08 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Bill Haas | 58.5 | 58.5 | 58.5 | 32 | 32 | -4.08 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Scott Hend | 44 | 44 | 44 | 65 | 65 | -18.58 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Mike Hendry | 64 | 64 | 64 | 52 | 52 | 1.42 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| J.B. Holmes | 77 | 77 | 77 | 12 | 12 | 14.42 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Mackenzie Hughes | 55.5 | 55.5 | 55.5 | 32 | 32 | -7.08 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Zach Johnson | 43.5 | 43.5 | 43.5 | 58 | 58 | -19.08 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Martin Kaymer | 79 | 79 | 79 | 23 | 23 | 16.42 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| K.T. Kim | 28 | 28 | 28 | 76 | 76 | -34.58 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Si Woo Kim | 36 | 36 | 36 | 72 | 72 | -26.58 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Russell Knox | 48 | 48 | 48 | 70 | 70 | -14.58 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Pablo Larrazabal | 38.5 | 38.5 | 38.5 | 72 | 72 | -24.08 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| William McGirt | 66.5 | 66.5 | 66.5 | 28 | 28 | 3.92 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Rory McIlroy | 88 | 88 | 88 | 7 | 7 | 25.42 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Ryan Moore | 70.5 | 70.5 | 70.5 | 28 | 28 | 7.92 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Kevin Na | 51 | 51 | 51 | 52 | 52 | -11.58 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Sean O'Hair | 44.5 | 44.5 | 44.5 | 65 | 65 | -18.08 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Scott Piercy | 66 | 66 | 66 | 32 | 32 | 3.42 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Adam Scott | 59 | 59 | 59 | 45 | 45 | -3.58 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Brandt Snedeker | 94.5 | 94.5 | 94.5 | 7 | 7 | 31.92 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Henrik Stenson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100 | 100 | -62.58 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Richard Sterne | 45.5 | 45.5 | 45.5 | 72 | 72 | -17.08 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Andy Sullivan | 71 | 71 | 71 | 20 | 20 | 8.42 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Hideto Tanihara | 69.5 | 69.5 | 69.5 | 32 | 32 | 6.92 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Jimmy Walker | 73 | 73 | 73 | 25 | 25 | 10.42 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Jeunghun Wang | 43.5 | 43.5 | 43.5 | 71 | 71 | -19.08 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Lee Westwood | 76 | 76 | 76 | 28 | 28 | 13.42 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Danny Willett | 49.5 | 49.5 | 49.5 | 69 | 69 | -13.08 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Chris Wood | 57.5 | 57.5 | 57.5 | 28 | 28 | -5.08 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Fabrizio Zanotti | 75.5 | 75.5 | 75.5 | 12 | 12 | 12.92 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
