2018 NFL Draft and the Importance of WR Breakout Age

Anthony Amico
February 12, 2018

Back in 2014, Shawn Siegele penned what I would consider to be one of the foundational pieces to RotoViz wide receiver prospect analysis. Put simply, he was able to show that breakout age is the skeleton key to WR evaluation. My goal in this piece is to re-emphasize the importance of breakout age, and how it greatly increases WR hit rates. Let’s get started.

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Anthony Amico

Anthony is a football coach who possesses two different mathematics degrees. He uses his combined knowledge in those two fields to attack the fantasy landscape across a variety of formats, including daily fantasy, dynasty, and 2QB. He lives to be contrarian. In addition to RotoViz, Anthony is currently a contributor for Fantasy Insiders, TwoQBs, and numberFire.

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I’ve been doing a lot of work this off-season with modeling rookie production. The goal has been to find a player’s best season within his first three years in the NFL. This allows us to find players who can be successful within a reasonable range of time for your dynasty rosters. Now that the draft is over, it is time to unveil the post-draft model…...

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Anthony Amico has spent time this offseason developing models to predict the performance of incoming rookies. With the Draft coming this week, he has finalized his projections. This will be the final installment of both the running back and wide receiver projections prior to Thursday’s NFL Draft…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...