Efficiency-Agnostic Projections for 2017

Blair Andrews
September 8, 2017

Last offseason I put together a set of what I called efficiency-agnostic projections. These simple projections were made purely using a multiple linear regression, and assumed league-average efficiency across the board. They are efficiency-agnostic because, rather than attempting to project efficiency, I’m projecting expected points. Expected points are simply the average number of fantasy points an attempt, carry, or target has historically produced based on down, distance, and field position.

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here

Please subscribe For Full Access to all RotoViz content and tools!

What’s included in your subscription??

Exclusive Access to RotoViz Study Hall
- A treasure trove of our most insightful articles that will teach you the metrics that matter, time-tested winning strategies, the approaches that will give you an edge, and teach you how to be an effective fantasy manager.
Revolutionary Tools
- Including the NFL Stat Explorer, Weekly GLSP Projections, NCAA Prospect Box Score Scout, Combine Explorer, Range of Outcomes App, DFS Lineup Optimizer, Best Ball Suite,and many, many, more.
Groundbreaking Articles
- RotoViz is home of the original Zero-RB article and continues to push fantasy gamers forward as the go-to destination for evidence-based analysis and strategic advantages.
Weekly Projections
- Built using RotoViz’s unique GLSP approach.
Expert Rankings
And a whole lot more…

Blair Andrews

Managing Editor, Author of The Wrong Read, Occasional Fantasy Football League Winner. All opinions are someone else's.

Ja’Marr Chase Will Show Up in a Must-Win Game: The Wrong Read, Week 18 – Saturday Preview

Blair Andrews January 4, 2025

Blair Andrews previews the Saturday matchups in Week 18 using the advanced team stats. Can Ja'Marr Chase lead the Bengals to a possible playoff berth?

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here

Jonathan Taylor’s Revival Has Only Just Begun: The Wrong Read, Week 17

Blair Andrews December 28, 2024

Blair Andrews takes a close look at the upcoming Week 17 matchups using advanced team stats and other RotoViz tools. Can the Giants possibly slow down Jonathan Taylor?

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here

You Could Do Worse Than the Patriots’ Passing Game: The Wrong Read, Week 17 – Saturday Preview

Blair Andrews December 27, 2024

Blair Andrews previews the Week 17 Saturday matchups through the lens of the advanced team stats. Does the Patriots' passing game have viable fantasy starters in Week 17?

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here

Ja’Marr Chase Will Show Up in a Must-Win Game: The Wrong Read, Week 18 – Saturday Preview

Blair Andrews January 4, 2025

Blair Andrews previews the Saturday matchups in Week 18 using the advanced team stats. Can Ja'Marr Chase lead the Bengals to a possible playoff berth?

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here

Jonathan Taylor’s Revival Has Only Just Begun: The Wrong Read, Week 17

Blair Andrews December 28, 2024

Blair Andrews takes a close look at the upcoming Week 17 matchups using advanced team stats and other RotoViz tools. Can the Giants possibly slow down Jonathan Taylor?

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here

You Could Do Worse Than the Patriots’ Passing Game: The Wrong Read, Week 17 – Saturday Preview

Blair Andrews December 27, 2024

Blair Andrews previews the Week 17 Saturday matchups through the lens of the advanced team stats. Does the Patriots' passing game have viable fantasy starters in Week 17?