Source: How Reliable are Way-Too-Early NFL Point Spreads? (Part II) There are two interesting lessons to be learned here. First, way-too-early spreads are as accurate as actual spreads in terms of predicting actual Week 1 margins of victory. Furthermore, this result provides even more evidence of my belief perseverance hypothesis from Part 1: Between CG’s release and Week 1, the betting public’s perceptions of relative team strength don’t seem...
In-Season
Shawn Siegele
November 20, 2024
