Volatility and Quarterback Projections

Joshua Lake
February 15, 2016

Last week, Charles Kleinheksel showed us tight end volatility projections, Ben Gretch gave us wide receivers, and Aaron Butler broke down the running backs. Jonathan Bales devised the volatility score methodology in the early RotoViz years. Those scores provide a quick picture of how risky — or reliable — a player’s fantasy output may be. The formula is: (High 2016 Projection – Low 2016 Projection)...

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Joshua Lake

Go Big or Go Home: MFL10 QBs

Joshua Lake February 13, 2017

I took a stab at predicting MFL10 QB ADP and highlighted the weak relationship between win rate and how late teams waited on quarterback. No quarterback drafted outside the top-153 picks had a positive win rate (anything over 10 percent) but the overall relationship between QB ADP and team success was still relatively weak. Teams that drafted Cam Newton got wrecked in 2016, winning only…...

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Predicting MFL10 QB ADP

Joshua Lake February 6, 2017

Some will say I’m a dreamer, but others will simply say I was right. Last year, I proclaimed the death of late-round QB for MFL10 bestball drafts, writing in May:… Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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This “Sleeper” QB is Actually a Terrible Pick

Joshua Lake August 1, 2016

You didn’t hear this from me, but Jay Cutler might secretly be a terrible pick this year. So you know that I am both a hypocrite and prone to bad predictions, I will admit I called Jay Cutler a value pick last offseason…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...