Target Projections – TY Hilton, Emmanuel Sanders and the Rest of the Second Tier

I’m working my way down the wide receiver ADP ranks comparing our staff composite target projections and historical data. I’ve already analyzed the top-12 and this year’s rookie class. Now, I’m moving to the second-tier WRs with positional ADP ranks of 13-24. The second tier includes 2014’s break-out stars like TY HiltonEmmanuel Sanders, and Golden Tate, plus former top-5 producers like Brandon Marshall and Andre Johnson. This is one of the more interesting groups because hitting on the right one gives you a tremendous advantage our the rest of your league: a WR1 at a WR2 price. But you can’t simply swing for the fences on your 3-5 round picks. You’ll need good production out of receivers in this range, so safety can’t be ignored.

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The Tom Brady Halo Effect

Winning in fantasy football isn’t as easy as the “just pick the right players” crowd would have you believe. Winning – not in a single league, but consistently – is the result of finding the overlooked advantages that together create a sustainable edge. I focus much of my analysis on price, where the market is telling us the collective wisdom of the crowd, and history can enlighten…...

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rookie rankings

Opportunity Scores: The Top Landing Spots for Rookie Wide Receivers

A couple years ago, I attempted to create a numbers-based formula for determining which teams are the best landing spots for rookie wide receivers. In fantasy and real football, performance is largely a function of opportunity, whether created through talent, draft position or a lack of roster competition…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in...

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Deshaun Watson, Mitchell Trubisky and the Importance of Sample Size

I was happy to see Rotoworld’s Josh Norris recognize the importance of sample size while recently predicting that the analytical wizards with the Cleveland Browns will prefer Deshaun Watson to Mitchell Trubisky come draft day. … Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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The Tom Brady Halo Effect

Winning in fantasy football isn’t as easy as the “just pick the right players” crowd would have you believe. Winning – not in a single league, but consistently – is the result of finding the overlooked advantages that together create a sustainable edge. I focus much of my analysis on price, where the market is telling us the collective wisdom of the crowd, and history can enlighten…...

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Opportunity Scores: The Top Landing Spots for Rookie Wide Receivers

A couple years ago, I attempted to create a numbers-based formula for determining which teams are the best landing spots for rookie wide receivers. In fantasy and real football, performance is largely a function of opportunity, whether created through talent, draft position or a lack of roster competition…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in...

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Deshaun Watson, Mitchell Trubisky and the Importance of Sample Size

I was happy to see Rotoworld’s Josh Norris recognize the importance of sample size while recently predicting that the analytical wizards with the Cleveland Browns will prefer Deshaun Watson to Mitchell Trubisky come draft day. … Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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