Julian Edelman is a High Floor Receiver – Or is he?

Mike Beers
June 23, 2015

While gearing up for the 2015 fantasy football season, you will inevitably see the terms High Floor and Boom/Bust in reference to particular players. Which type of player you are drafting can be useful information as you build your roster. Two players with the same total points over a season can influence your week-to-week performance in very different ways.

Consider the case of Rueben Randle and Dwayne Bowe. Over the past two seasons, Randle has averaged 10.0 points per game (PPR) and Bowe has averaged a very close 9.7 points, but how they got those points could not be more different. The chart below looks at the distribution of each receiver’s weekly results.

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Mike Beers

Understanding Win Rates: The Picks that Won MFL10s in 2017

Mike Beers January 22, 2018

The following looks at the win rates[1]Win rate is a ratio defined by the number of times a player was on a first place roster divided by the total number of times that player was drafted. This analysis encompasses players drafted in at least 500 MFL10, MFL25, MFL50 or MFL100 leagues. of players drafted in close to 5,000 MFL10 best-ball leagues in 2017.((“2X,” or double-up,…...

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MFL10 Optimization Part 2: Quarterback, Tight End and Defense

Mike Beers April 18, 2017

In part one of this project, we followed the evolution of a fictional 2016 MFL10 draft from an inefficient mess into a league full of optimized rosters. That first step provided us with some general guidelines for roster construction. Now we dig a bit deeper, in search of more detailed and more actionable conclusions. We’ve already learned, for example, that we want to roster either two or three…...

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MFL10 Optimization: Evolution of a Perfect Draft

Mike Beers April 10, 2017

What would an MFL10 draft look like if all twelve players knew exactly what they were doing? You may never have asked yourself that question, but I have spent more time thinking about roster construction than I care to admit, so I decided to find out how an “optimized” draft might play out…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership...