Finding Underpriced Rookie Wide Receivers like Devin Funchess and Tyler Lockett

Kevin Cole
May 5, 2015

Yesterday I took a look at the 2015 rookie running back class and identified where they should be taken in post-draft MFL10s based upon the historical relationship between draft position and redraft ADP. I also used updated rookie opportunity scores (OS) that account for the newly added rookies’ ADPs. I’m going to go through a similar exercise with 2015 rookie wide receivers, and I find a few underpriced values we should accumulate before the broader market catches on. While this post is looking a redraft PPR ADPs, it also has value in dynasty. You can think about pre-draft redraft ADPs as a decent assessment of receivers dynasty prospects since we don’t know their landing spots at that point. This analysis will identify WRs most likely to outperform in year one, which will also have positive implications for dynasty value.

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Kevin Cole

The Tom Brady Halo Effect

Kevin Cole June 13, 2017

Winning in fantasy football isn’t as easy as the “just pick the right players” crowd would have you believe. Winning – not in a single league, but consistently – is the result of finding the overlooked advantages that together create a sustainable edge. I focus much of my analysis on price, where the market is telling us the collective wisdom of the crowd, and history can enlighten…...

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Opportunity Scores: The Top Landing Spots for Rookie Wide Receivers

Kevin Cole April 5, 2017

A couple years ago, I attempted to create a numbers-based formula for determining which teams are the best landing spots for rookie wide receivers. In fantasy and real football, performance is largely a function of opportunity, whether created through talent, draft position or a lack of roster competition…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in...

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Deshaun Watson, Mitchell Trubisky and the Importance of Sample Size

Kevin Cole April 3, 2017

I was happy to see Rotoworld’s Josh Norris recognize the importance of sample size while recently predicting that the analytical wizards with the Cleveland Browns will prefer Deshaun Watson to Mitchell Trubisky come draft day. … Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...