Identifying Undervalued Running Backs with Usage Visualization

Kevin Cole
March 23, 2015

I recently wrote a post on Justin Forsett, Matt Forte, and “The Trestman Effect” where I looked at usage (snap percentage) versus PPR points. The correlation league-wide was even stronger than I expected, with the vast majority of running backs scoring within +/- 50 points of the regression line. Usage is particularly important in PPR leagues because flukier types of scoring like touchdowns are de-emphasized, and reception points...

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Kevin Cole

The Tom Brady Halo Effect

Kevin Cole June 13, 2017

Winning in fantasy football isn’t as easy as the “just pick the right players” crowd would have you believe. Winning – not in a single league, but consistently – is the result of finding the overlooked advantages that together create a sustainable edge. I focus much of my analysis on price, where the market is telling us the collective wisdom of the crowd, and history can enlighten…...

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Opportunity Scores: The Top Landing Spots for Rookie Wide Receivers

Kevin Cole April 5, 2017

A couple years ago, I attempted to create a numbers-based formula for determining which teams are the best landing spots for rookie wide receivers. In fantasy and real football, performance is largely a function of opportunity, whether created through talent, draft position or a lack of roster competition…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in...

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Deshaun Watson, Mitchell Trubisky and the Importance of Sample Size

Kevin Cole April 3, 2017

I was happy to see Rotoworld’s Josh Norris recognize the importance of sample size while recently predicting that the analytical wizards with the Cleveland Browns will prefer Deshaun Watson to Mitchell Trubisky come draft day. … Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...