This piece was originally published on FantasyDouche.com in spring of 2012 and addresses fantasy scoring only – although fantasy scoring is actually a pretty good proxy for our collective impression of what makes a good wide receiver. To put it another way, try to think of a successful real world receiver who isn’t a successful fantasy receiver. This piece pits a model that includes simple box score stats and also Market Share of college team yards vs. Draft Position in a game of “Who can pick the better WR?”
Also, while Percy Harvin’s 2012 season will now make some of the examples in this piece seem off, Harvin played the majority of his rookie contract at a level that would still make these conclusions valid. Basically, teams should not be drafting WRs hoping that in their 4th pro season they finally start outproducing WRs picked after them.