In Part 2, Jesse Cohen applies the lesson from Part 1 to the 2026 draft class and shares a few other contrarian post-draft thoughts. Winning the Analytics Wars, Part 1 Recap In Part 1, we reached a limited but important finding: For Tier 1-3 QBs and WRs in the RotoViz rookie rankings that have skeptical NFL.com grades (<6.40), the bust rate jumps from about 25%…...

Wide receiver prospect production has been trending downward, which could have major implications for how we evaluate incoming classes. Building on Blair’s work, Jesse Cohen tries to answer a deceptively complex question: are recent prospects actually worse, or has the curve changed? The Worrying Trendline In his recent piece, Blair described a worrying trend for WR prospects that seems to only be getting worse: While several…...

In this article, Jesse Cohen shares his dirty secret and sees if it survives the analytical sunlight. In the Analytics Wars, There’s Safety in Numbers The divide between film- and analytics-based prospecting has been narrowing, but remains an essential part of our dynasty DNA: Years ago it was fashionable to argue about whether NFL prospect scouting should rely on film-based evaluation, or on the analytics…...