For the last month and a half, I’ve been knee-deep in preparing for the 2021 fantasy season and my first set of projections for all NFL teams is complete. Building a set of well-reasoned fantasy football projections is a time-consuming process but one that I’ve come to appreciate. It’s a key piece of my annual offseason preparation as it helps me to better understand a…...

Dave Caban uses the Range Of Outcomes App to adapt his subjective 2020 projections and increase their usefulness by creating historically grounded ranges of outcomes. The Range of Outcomes tool (ROO) is one of my favorite things that I’ve contributed to the site. If you’re unfamiliar with the tool, it reviews a player’s prior-year performance to match him with the 50 players that produced the…...

Blair Andrews uses the projection machine to explore a few of the many possible futures for the Atlanta Falcons offense. Only once since 2000 has a team produced two 300-point wide receivers — Denver did it in 2014 with both Demaryius Thomas and Emmanuel Sanders reaching that threshold while catching passes from Peyton Manning. If 2020 ADP is any indication, there are probably only two teams…...

The Houston Texans backfield has done quite the August shuffle, first releasing D’Onta Foreman and then trading for Duke Johnson. Now, Lamar Miller has suffered an ACL injury and is done for the season — so what is the fantasy impact for Duke Johnson? Let’s dive right into it using some of the tools at our disposal here at RotoViz, including the Projection Machine. Can Duke Johnson…...

Duke Johnson asked for a trade away from the Cleveland Browns this offseason — making him the only player that wanted out of suddenly-exciting Cleveland — and he finally got his wish, as the Browns traded him to the Houston Texans for a 2020 draft pick. The move comes days after Houston cut ties with D’Onta Foreman, who was thought to be locked in to the team’s…...

In many leagues, waiting until the later rounds of the draft to select a quarterback is a sound strategy. A major reason for this is the slim margin separating the QB7 and the QB14, for example, in fantasy points scored and the requirement that only one QB be started. In 2018, Jared Goff scored 310 points as the QB7. Tom Brady, who finished as QB14,…...

I’ve played a significant role in our projection building for a number of years and have grown to truly appreciate the process. I recently completed my set of 2019 projections which you can find here. The process has become a key part of my offseason preparation as it helps me to better understand a player’s range of outcomes, the key inputs that will shape his…...