3968311824_bc40b342b3_b

In recent 12-team drafts, Philip Rivers is going ahead of Sam Bradford, and Alex Smith. For goodness sakes, whatever you do, don’t draft Rivers at all. Take Bradford or Smith instead. Not only will they make better QB2s, they’re great candidates for QB1 status.

Sam & Alex – Late Round QB1s

Brian Fontaine wrote at length about Bradford’s prospects in his article, “Could Breakout Candidate Sam Bradford Throw for 50 TDs in 2013?”  He makes the case that Bradford is already better than you think – and gets an improved offensive line and better offensive weapons this year.

Way back in February Shawn “The Prescient One” Siegele made a case for “Alex Smith as Your Fantasy Quarterback.” He pointed out that the Chiefs’ best chance to win will likely involve a lot of throwing. And some of Alex Smith’s comparable QBs might surprise you. A little bit of simple math supports his theory.

Check for yourself, using our QB Similarity App. Bradford and Smith offer better upside.

Old Man Rivers

I’m going to go out on a limb here and say Rivers peaked in 2009. At his best, Rivers was a really good QB. But look at the last four years. Look, dammit! Everything is getting worse.

Year

Cmp%

TD%

Int%

Y/A

AY/A

Y/C

Y/G

Sk

Sk%

04

62.5

12.5

0

4.1

6.6

6.6

16.5

0

0

05

54.5

0

4.5

5.2

3.2

9.6

57.5

3

12

06

61.7

4.8

2

7.4

7.4

11.9

211.8

27

5.5

07

60.2

4.6

3.3

6.9

6.3

11.4

197

22

4.6

08

65.3

7.1

2.3

8.4

8.8

12.8

250.6

25

5

09

65.2

5.8

1.9

8.8

9.1

13.4

265.9

25

4.9

10

66

5.5

2.4

8.7

8.7

13.2

294.4

38

6.6

11

62.9

4.6

3.4

7.9

7.3

12.6

289

30

4.9

12

64.1

4.9

2.8

6.8

6.5

10.7

225.4

49

8.5

(Pro Football Reference)

The basic QB efficiency stats, Yards/Attempt, Adjusted Yards/Attempt, and Yards/Completion, are all trending down.
Granted, nobody (I hope) is hitching their fantasy football season to Philip Rivers. But there’s literally no good reason to draft Philip Rivers. At all. He’s getting drafted as a QB2 ahead of two guys who not only are much better QB2s, but potentially very solid QB1s!

Subscribe for a constant stream of league-beating articles available only with a Premium Pass.