Green’s return from a torn anterior cruciate ligament in his left knee did not follow Adrian Peterson’s Hollywood narrative. . . Green’s 2012 season consisted of throbbing, miserable mornings, frustration on Sundays and an anticlimactic limp to the finish line. All along, Green wasn’t himself. His knee never felt right. So even with Green’s future in Green Bay instantly endangered by the addition of a second-round pick (Eddie Lacy) and a fourth-rounder (Johnathan Franklin), he can breathe easy. His body, finally, responds to his brain.
Green Bay isn’t kicking Green to the curb, either. Through the team’s organized team activities and minicamp practices open to the media, the 2011 third-round pick started and finished as the No. 1 back.
Tyler Dunne of the Journal Sentinel
This offers a little confirmation for the thesis I floated a couple of weeks ago that a healthy Green is the biggest talent on the Packers roster. During the draft process, I also offered some tentative evidence that Lacy and Franklin were being heavily overrated by draftniks. NFL squads seemed to concur. Green Bay didn’t reach for these guys like New Orleans reached for Mark Ingram several years ago, but it may not have been the best use of the draft resources Ted Thompson prizes so highly.
Speaking of the Packers backfield, if you’re thinking of drafting either Lacy or Franklin for your dynasty teams or planning to select one of them as a sleeper RB2 later this fall in redraft, then the one article you should read this summer is Ryan Rouillard’s Everything You Didn’t Already Know About the Green Bay Running Back Competition. It employs his innovative running back projection system and provides actionable fantasy intelligence that your leaguemates will not have.
Lacy is being selected in the Round 5 area in redraft formats, and, while he obviously has some upside at that ADP, his downside is absolutely huge. That’s yet another reason I think mid-round runners represent too much risk in 2013. Check out Trent Richardson, Chris Johnson, and Why RB-RB is Back to see what the RotoViz apps can tell you about this season’s optimal draft strategy.