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In-Season Articles

In-Season Articles

Bowl Prospect Preview: Marcus Cox, RB, Appalachian State

Only two players have rushed for more than 100 yards against the top-ranked Clemson Tigers this year: Florida State’s Dalvin Cook and Appalachian State’s Marcus Cox. As we look ahead to the Raycom Media Camellia Bowl on Saturday, December 19, I want to put this talented running back under the microscope. Although he still has one year of eligibility remaining, it wouldn’t be surprising if he…...

Aaron Burbridge: How Big a Deal is the Michigan State WR?

On Saturday night, the Michigan State Spartans will play for the Big 10 championship and presumably a spot in the college football playoff. While quarterback Connor Cook has received most of the attention this year, I think receiver Aaron Burbridge has been the best player on offense. Continuing with my series of college football articles, let’s take a deep dive into Burbridge’s college career and…...

Where is the Wunderkind? An Update on Corey Davis

Last December I made that case that Corey Davis is the Wide Receiver Wunderkind for reasons that you can read about in that article. Given that level of admiration, you can imagine how concerned I was when he went missing earlier this season. Not literally, but his production took a dip, which made me wonder if it was all too much too soon. Now, after a…...

The Top Heisman Contenders for 2015

I recently identified the commonalities of Heisman winners and top vote getters. In this article, I apply those filters to the 2015 player pool to identify the top quarterbacks, running backs, and wide receivers who fit the Heisman mold. At the bottom, I provide my projected top 10 finishers…....

What Does a Heisman Winner Look Like?

To be honest with you, I’ve been involved with a lot of award programs in my life and my observation is that they’re fairly arbitrary. And maybe the Heisman is arbitrary too, [1]I haven’t been involved with that one yet but that doesn’t mean it’s any less fun to try to predict the winner. Toward that goal, I recently waded through a sea of Heisman…...

Devontae Booker: Playground Bully or Premium Prospect?

If I really wanted to start this article by torpedoing all the warm fuzzies you might feel about Utah running back Devontae Booker, I might say something like… Would you believe that Booker is the just three months younger than Le’Veon Bell?…...

Baylor’s Corey Coleman: System WR or Elite Prospect?

Through four games this year, Corey Coleman has 11 touchdown receptions. During the entire 2014 college football season only 19 players matched that feat. There’s no question that Corey Coleman is an outstanding college receiver. The question has become “what caliber of pro prospect is Coleman?”…...

Tajae Sharpe: A Phenom WR Prospect Comes of Age

Tajae Sharpe greeted the college football world in 2012 in an unassuming way; by catching a pass in every single game en route to a 20-206-0 campaign. The raw numbers may not grab your attention, but this should: Tajae was 17 years old for every game of that season…....

The Good (And Bad) News About Laquon Treadwell’s NFL Outlook

A contemporary Canadian poet by the name of Aubrey Graham once penned the line: “buzz so big I could probably sell a blank disk” I cannot recall a more perfect application of this lyric than to the NFL draft status of Ole Miss wide receiver Laquon Treadwell; the hype around him seems to have reached a point where his on-field production is considered borderline-irrelevant. For…...

Is Oregon’s Byron Marshall the next Randall Cobb?

Given his success as an NFL receiver, it`s easy to overlook the fact that Randall Cobb didn’t really play the position until his final year at Kentucky. True story. In his first season he touched the ball most as a passer, in his second the most as a runner and in his third the most as receiver. In advance of Saturday night’s showdown against Michigan…...

Ezekiel Elliott and a Brief History of Young Running Back Dominance

Lets just get this out of the way – Ezekiel Elliott is phenomenal. Widely viewed as the top running back prospect for the 2016 Draft, Elliott put together a season for the ages last year. The point of this article isnt to figure out whether or not he’s any good, but rather to examine the magnitude of his excellence and compare him to other players on…...

6 Rookies We’re Underestimating in 2015

Sorry for being a degenerate, but while perusing NFL futures today, I couldn’t help but notice something strange. As many football fans know (especially DFS players) the Las Vegas betting market is a pretty efficient place for understanding how the smartest football minds value teams, players and likely outcomes. Piggybacking off that, I’m going to evaluate the 2015 rookie class through the eyes of oddsmakers…...

Which 2015 Running Back is most likely to be the next Arian Foster?

Two weeks ago I detailed a simple rule for finding the best UDFA running backs for fantasy football. Guys like Arian Foster, C.J. Anderson and Joique Bell. Today, I’m going to apply the lesssons from that article to the 2015 draft class to create a focused watch list. If you subscribe to Shawn Siegele’s Zero RB philosophy, which I do, you’ll agree that finding low-cost, high-impact running backs is…...

How Matt Jones Could be the Heir to Alfred Morris

Damnit, Daniel Synder! Why did you and your front office have to blow the cover on one of my favorite “late round / UDFA” running backs? And by that I mean, going into the NFL Draft, running back Matt Jones carried a PlayTheDraft.com FRX rank of 301, meaning that almost nobody on planet earth spent more than ten minutes thinking about him this draft season…....

Making the Case for Nelson Agholor as the #2 Rookie WR

In the wake of the first round of the NFL Draft, I updated my wide receiver projection models and was surprised to see Nelson Agholor in a dead heat with Jaelen Strong and Kevin White to be the second-highest projected receiver from the 2015 class. For the record, Amari Cooper is number one and has been for a while. But after Cooper, I think Agholor’s landing…...

Demarco Murray and the Hidden Value of Special Teams Stats

Earlier this month I detailed the hidden value of college special teams stats for wide receiver prospects and how they might help us identify undervalued commodities. Perhaps unsurprisingly, special teams stats matter for running backs too. In a recent round of testing I solved for 24 different variables, including a mix of rush yards, rushing touchdowns, receptions and receiving touchdowns and their per-game siblings over the…...

Bowl Prospect Preview: Marcus Cox, RB, Appalachian State

Only two players have rushed for more than 100 yards against the top-ranked Clemson Tigers this year: Florida State’s Dalvin Cook and Appalachian State’s Marcus Cox. As we look ahead to the Raycom Media Camellia Bowl on Saturday, December 19, I want to put this talented running back under the microscope. Although he still has one year of eligibility remaining, it wouldn’t be surprising if he…...

Aaron Burbridge: How Big a Deal is the Michigan State WR?

On Saturday night, the Michigan State Spartans will play for the Big 10 championship and presumably a spot in the college football playoff. While quarterback Connor Cook has received most of the attention this year, I think receiver Aaron Burbridge has been the best player on offense. Continuing with my series of college football articles, let’s take a deep dive into Burbridge’s college career and…...

Where is the Wunderkind? An Update on Corey Davis

Last December I made that case that Corey Davis is the Wide Receiver Wunderkind for reasons that you can read about in that article. Given that level of admiration, you can imagine how concerned I was when he went missing earlier this season. Not literally, but his production took a dip, which made me wonder if it was all too much too soon. Now, after a…...

The Top Heisman Contenders for 2015

I recently identified the commonalities of Heisman winners and top vote getters. In this article, I apply those filters to the 2015 player pool to identify the top quarterbacks, running backs, and wide receivers who fit the Heisman mold. At the bottom, I provide my projected top 10 finishers…....

What Does a Heisman Winner Look Like?

To be honest with you, I’ve been involved with a lot of award programs in my life and my observation is that they’re fairly arbitrary. And maybe the Heisman is arbitrary too, [1]I haven’t been involved with that one yet but that doesn’t mean it’s any less fun to try to predict the winner. Toward that goal, I recently waded through a sea of Heisman…...

Devontae Booker: Playground Bully or Premium Prospect?

If I really wanted to start this article by torpedoing all the warm fuzzies you might feel about Utah running back Devontae Booker, I might say something like… Would you believe that Booker is the just three months younger than Le’Veon Bell?…...

Baylor’s Corey Coleman: System WR or Elite Prospect?

Through four games this year, Corey Coleman has 11 touchdown receptions. During the entire 2014 college football season only 19 players matched that feat. There’s no question that Corey Coleman is an outstanding college receiver. The question has become “what caliber of pro prospect is Coleman?”…...

Tajae Sharpe: A Phenom WR Prospect Comes of Age

Tajae Sharpe greeted the college football world in 2012 in an unassuming way; by catching a pass in every single game en route to a 20-206-0 campaign. The raw numbers may not grab your attention, but this should: Tajae was 17 years old for every game of that season…....

The Good (And Bad) News About Laquon Treadwell’s NFL Outlook

A contemporary Canadian poet by the name of Aubrey Graham once penned the line: “buzz so big I could probably sell a blank disk” I cannot recall a more perfect application of this lyric than to the NFL draft status of Ole Miss wide receiver Laquon Treadwell; the hype around him seems to have reached a point where his on-field production is considered borderline-irrelevant. For…...

Is Oregon’s Byron Marshall the next Randall Cobb?

Given his success as an NFL receiver, it`s easy to overlook the fact that Randall Cobb didn’t really play the position until his final year at Kentucky. True story. In his first season he touched the ball most as a passer, in his second the most as a runner and in his third the most as receiver. In advance of Saturday night’s showdown against Michigan…...

Ezekiel Elliott and a Brief History of Young Running Back Dominance

Lets just get this out of the way – Ezekiel Elliott is phenomenal. Widely viewed as the top running back prospect for the 2016 Draft, Elliott put together a season for the ages last year. The point of this article isnt to figure out whether or not he’s any good, but rather to examine the magnitude of his excellence and compare him to other players on…...

6 Rookies We’re Underestimating in 2015

Sorry for being a degenerate, but while perusing NFL futures today, I couldn’t help but notice something strange. As many football fans know (especially DFS players) the Las Vegas betting market is a pretty efficient place for understanding how the smartest football minds value teams, players and likely outcomes. Piggybacking off that, I’m going to evaluate the 2015 rookie class through the eyes of oddsmakers…...

Which 2015 Running Back is most likely to be the next Arian Foster?

Two weeks ago I detailed a simple rule for finding the best UDFA running backs for fantasy football. Guys like Arian Foster, C.J. Anderson and Joique Bell. Today, I’m going to apply the lesssons from that article to the 2015 draft class to create a focused watch list. If you subscribe to Shawn Siegele’s Zero RB philosophy, which I do, you’ll agree that finding low-cost, high-impact running backs is…...

How Matt Jones Could be the Heir to Alfred Morris

Damnit, Daniel Synder! Why did you and your front office have to blow the cover on one of my favorite “late round / UDFA” running backs? And by that I mean, going into the NFL Draft, running back Matt Jones carried a PlayTheDraft.com FRX rank of 301, meaning that almost nobody on planet earth spent more than ten minutes thinking about him this draft season…....

Making the Case for Nelson Agholor as the #2 Rookie WR

In the wake of the first round of the NFL Draft, I updated my wide receiver projection models and was surprised to see Nelson Agholor in a dead heat with Jaelen Strong and Kevin White to be the second-highest projected receiver from the 2015 class. For the record, Amari Cooper is number one and has been for a while. But after Cooper, I think Agholor’s landing…...

Demarco Murray and the Hidden Value of Special Teams Stats

Earlier this month I detailed the hidden value of college special teams stats for wide receiver prospects and how they might help us identify undervalued commodities. Perhaps unsurprisingly, special teams stats matter for running backs too. In a recent round of testing I solved for 24 different variables, including a mix of rush yards, rushing touchdowns, receptions and receiving touchdowns and their per-game siblings over the…...

Bowl Prospect Preview: Marcus Cox, RB, Appalachian State

Only two players have rushed for more than 100 yards against the top-ranked Clemson Tigers this year: Florida State’s Dalvin Cook and Appalachian State’s Marcus Cox. As we look ahead to the Raycom Media Camellia Bowl on Saturday, December 19, I want to put this talented running back under the microscope. Although he still has one year of eligibility remaining, it wouldn’t be surprising if he…...

Aaron Burbridge: How Big a Deal is the Michigan State WR?

On Saturday night, the Michigan State Spartans will play for the Big 10 championship and presumably a spot in the college football playoff. While quarterback Connor Cook has received most of the attention this year, I think receiver Aaron Burbridge has been the best player on offense. Continuing with my series of college football articles, let’s take a deep dive into Burbridge’s college career and…...

Where is the Wunderkind? An Update on Corey Davis

Last December I made that case that Corey Davis is the Wide Receiver Wunderkind for reasons that you can read about in that article. Given that level of admiration, you can imagine how concerned I was when he went missing earlier this season. Not literally, but his production took a dip, which made me wonder if it was all too much too soon. Now, after a…...

The Top Heisman Contenders for 2015

I recently identified the commonalities of Heisman winners and top vote getters. In this article, I apply those filters to the 2015 player pool to identify the top quarterbacks, running backs, and wide receivers who fit the Heisman mold. At the bottom, I provide my projected top 10 finishers…....

What Does a Heisman Winner Look Like?

To be honest with you, I’ve been involved with a lot of award programs in my life and my observation is that they’re fairly arbitrary. And maybe the Heisman is arbitrary too, [1]I haven’t been involved with that one yet but that doesn’t mean it’s any less fun to try to predict the winner. Toward that goal, I recently waded through a sea of Heisman…...

Devontae Booker: Playground Bully or Premium Prospect?

If I really wanted to start this article by torpedoing all the warm fuzzies you might feel about Utah running back Devontae Booker, I might say something like… Would you believe that Booker is the just three months younger than Le’Veon Bell?…...

Baylor’s Corey Coleman: System WR or Elite Prospect?

Through four games this year, Corey Coleman has 11 touchdown receptions. During the entire 2014 college football season only 19 players matched that feat. There’s no question that Corey Coleman is an outstanding college receiver. The question has become “what caliber of pro prospect is Coleman?”…...

Tajae Sharpe: A Phenom WR Prospect Comes of Age

Tajae Sharpe greeted the college football world in 2012 in an unassuming way; by catching a pass in every single game en route to a 20-206-0 campaign. The raw numbers may not grab your attention, but this should: Tajae was 17 years old for every game of that season…....

The Good (And Bad) News About Laquon Treadwell’s NFL Outlook

A contemporary Canadian poet by the name of Aubrey Graham once penned the line: “buzz so big I could probably sell a blank disk” I cannot recall a more perfect application of this lyric than to the NFL draft status of Ole Miss wide receiver Laquon Treadwell; the hype around him seems to have reached a point where his on-field production is considered borderline-irrelevant. For…...

Is Oregon’s Byron Marshall the next Randall Cobb?

Given his success as an NFL receiver, it`s easy to overlook the fact that Randall Cobb didn’t really play the position until his final year at Kentucky. True story. In his first season he touched the ball most as a passer, in his second the most as a runner and in his third the most as receiver. In advance of Saturday night’s showdown against Michigan…...

Ezekiel Elliott and a Brief History of Young Running Back Dominance

Lets just get this out of the way – Ezekiel Elliott is phenomenal. Widely viewed as the top running back prospect for the 2016 Draft, Elliott put together a season for the ages last year. The point of this article isnt to figure out whether or not he’s any good, but rather to examine the magnitude of his excellence and compare him to other players on…...

6 Rookies We’re Underestimating in 2015

Sorry for being a degenerate, but while perusing NFL futures today, I couldn’t help but notice something strange. As many football fans know (especially DFS players) the Las Vegas betting market is a pretty efficient place for understanding how the smartest football minds value teams, players and likely outcomes. Piggybacking off that, I’m going to evaluate the 2015 rookie class through the eyes of oddsmakers…...

Which 2015 Running Back is most likely to be the next Arian Foster?

Two weeks ago I detailed a simple rule for finding the best UDFA running backs for fantasy football. Guys like Arian Foster, C.J. Anderson and Joique Bell. Today, I’m going to apply the lesssons from that article to the 2015 draft class to create a focused watch list. If you subscribe to Shawn Siegele’s Zero RB philosophy, which I do, you’ll agree that finding low-cost, high-impact running backs is…...

How Matt Jones Could be the Heir to Alfred Morris

Damnit, Daniel Synder! Why did you and your front office have to blow the cover on one of my favorite “late round / UDFA” running backs? And by that I mean, going into the NFL Draft, running back Matt Jones carried a PlayTheDraft.com FRX rank of 301, meaning that almost nobody on planet earth spent more than ten minutes thinking about him this draft season…....

Making the Case for Nelson Agholor as the #2 Rookie WR

In the wake of the first round of the NFL Draft, I updated my wide receiver projection models and was surprised to see Nelson Agholor in a dead heat with Jaelen Strong and Kevin White to be the second-highest projected receiver from the 2015 class. For the record, Amari Cooper is number one and has been for a while. But after Cooper, I think Agholor’s landing…...

Demarco Murray and the Hidden Value of Special Teams Stats

Earlier this month I detailed the hidden value of college special teams stats for wide receiver prospects and how they might help us identify undervalued commodities. Perhaps unsurprisingly, special teams stats matter for running backs too. In a recent round of testing I solved for 24 different variables, including a mix of rush yards, rushing touchdowns, receptions and receiving touchdowns and their per-game siblings over the…...

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