A couple years ago, I attempted to create a numbers-based formula for determining which teams are the best landing spots for rookie wide receivers. In fantasy and real football, performance is largely a function of opportunity, whether created through talent, draft position or a lack of roster competition.
I was happy to see Rotoworld’s Josh Norris recognize the importance of sample size while recently predicting that the analytical wizards with the Cleveland Browns will prefer Deshaun Watson to Mitchell Trubisky come draft day.
We have roughly a month until the 2017 NFL draft, when we will learn where our favorite (or not so favorite) prospects will land this coming season. While draft position and landing spot are huge factors for forecasting the success of any running back prospect, I’ve found that we can
Earlier this offseason, we used the pre-NFL draft ADP relationship between a quarterback and his receivers to find potential opportunity for rookie wide receivers.
Earlier we took a look at the 2016 wide receiver class through the lens of expected ADP based on NFL draft position, and found that the class (with one exception) looks historically overvalued. Now it’s time to look at 2016’s running backs, with particular focus on the top
There was a lot of talk leading into the NFL draft about how weak the crop of receivers was this year, and the amount of total draft capital spent on receivers was the lowest we’ve seen in nearly 20 years.
A large determinant of opportunity is draft position, but it isn’t the only factor. We must also dig into the opportunity available for targets and production at rookie landing spots.
Despite the fact that the Browns new head coach and quarterback guru Hue Jackson says that third-round pick Cody Kessler is everything you look for in a quarterback and you have to trust him on the selection, major doubts still exist from the majority of NFL draft prognosticators on whether
There was a strong run of wide receivers taken in the second half of the first round of the NFL draft. We all want our dynasty rookie picks to quickly appreciate, and the best way for that to happen is for a rookie to start out with strong production in
We re-introduced the rookie running back opportunity scores a few weeks ago, a concept developed last offseason to determine the best landing spots for the incoming class of rookies based on the relationship between how productive the backfield was the prior year and its running backs’ ADPs leading