Now that the draft is over I’m excited to report that I’ve finished my air yards model for NFL receivers. Well-validated models are the best and most unbiased forecast of NFL receiver production there is.((The air yards model combined four separate machine learning models into one ensemble
Editor’s Note: John Lapinski won the 2017 RotoViz Writing Contest. His winning entry is here; the following version has been updated to reflect the NFL draft. If you’d like to write for RotoViz, we have a standing offer for new writers.
Earlier this offseason I looked at which teams got lucky in 2016 from a sabermetrics perspective regarding won-loss record. Using each team’s Pythagorean win percentage, we can use their 2017 schedules to give an estimate of wins for each team in 2017.
May 18, 2017: The Numbers Game (@NumbersGamePod), a sports analytics RotoViz Radio podcast.