PGA

PGA DFS: Valspar Championship Course Preview and Trends

After an exciting weekend at TPC Sawgrass, the Tour turns its attention to Innisbrook Resort and Golf Club’s Copperhead course. It’s a par 71 course that plays a touch over 7,200 yards. We’re sticking with Bermudagrass greens again this week.

In typical Florida fashion, there’s trouble around every corner. There are 75 bunkers and eight water hazards that the field will have to contend with. Vijay Singh holds the tourney scoring record, pushing the winning number down to 18-under in 2004. Padraig Harrington holds the course scoring record with a 61 in 2012. Innisbrook has been inside of the top-10 most difficult courses in four of the past five years.

PAST WINNERS

Golfer Year Winning Score DraftKings Points
Paul Casey 2018 -10 100.5
Adam Hadwin 2017 -14 112
Charl Schwartzel 2016 -7 100
Jordan Spieth 2015 -10 105
John Senden 2014 -7 99

OFF THE TEE

Another week in Florida brings us plenty of danger lurking just off of tight fairways, making it tempting for many golfers to pull a club other than driver when they’re on the tee. Accuracy off the tee is nearly five times more correlated to DK points than distance this week. Since 2010, golfers who finished in the top 20 of driving distance have averaged 63 DK points compared to 62.5 DK points for the top 20 in accuracy. SG: Off The Tee is even more predictive, though, explaining over nine percent of DK points. Keeping it in play with a little bit of added length is a huge advantage once again this week.

SG: Off The Tee (Last 24 Rounds) Golfer (Salary)
1 Jon Rahm ($11,000)
2 Bubba Watson ($8,900)
3 Gary Woodland ($9,900)
4 Dustin Johnson ($11,500)
5 Adam Hadwin ($8,300)
6 Kevin Streelman ($7,400)
7 Trey Mullinax ($7,100)
8 Jason Kokrak ($8,600)
9 Paul Casey ($9,700)
10 Dylan Frittelli ($7,100)

ON APPROACH

The field has averaged 59.4 percent of greens in regulation here this week, since 2010, which is 10 or 11 greens per round. Cut makers have averaged 63 percent which equates to one extra birdie opportunity per round. Golfers that finish in the top 5 of DK scoring managed to hit nearly 68 percent of greens on their way to averaging 92.4 DK points.

GIR Rank (Last 24 Rounds) Golfer (Salary)
1 Jason Kokrak ($8,600)
2 Jim Furyk ($9,200)
3 Keegan Bradley ($9,400)
4 Dustin Johnson ($11,500)
5 Lucas Glover ($9,000)
6 Russell Knox ($8,100)
7 Brendan Steele ($6,700)
8 Jon Rahm ($11,000)
9 Henrik Stenson ($9,100)
10 John Senden ($6,200)

Course History Cheatsheet (Copperhead Course Since 2010)

Player NameSalaryStartsMade CutsMissed CutsAverage DK PointsLowest DK Point TotalHighest DK Point TotalBest Finish PositionWorst Finish PositionScoring Over Field Average (SOFA)
Dustin Johnson11500101272727100100-13.95
Jon Rahm11000---------
Jason Day1070044057.2543.570.5206114.57
Webb Simpson1040086261.187519.5101.5210020.27
Sergio Garcia1010055073648744130.72
Gary Woodland9900853501811411009.25
Paul Casey970042252.37523100.511009.65
Patrick Reed950054166.117.598210026.94
Keegan Bradley940042240.3752655.531100-0.49
Louis Oosthuizen930063342.5833333166871002.65
Jim Furyk920088074.7553.510614133.43
Henrik Stenson910043159.751484.5410020.3
Lucas Glover900096347.16666671979.5181006.4
Bubba Watson890032161.666666723.592310019.22
Rafael Cabrera-Bello8800110515151444411.41
Ryan Moore870085348.93751784.531007.87
Jason Kokrak860084444.7518.57971004
Kevin Kisner850021131.2518.54460100-7.76
Brandt Snedeker840066061.583333345.596.545819.67
Adam Hadwin830043159.12521112110019.67
Charl Schwartzel82004316416.5100110022.82
Russell Knox810064245.666666722.566.5161005.42
Branden Grace800032147.66666672176.581009.16
Tyrrell Hatton7900---------
J.T. Poston7900110747474141432.88
Kevin Na780076156.64285712679210015.46
Russell Henley780021150.2520.580910011.49
Sungjae Im7700---------
Ollie Schniederjans770031232.333333321.54949100-8.14
Zach Johnson760054144.48.566.5161002.12
Michael Thompson760052335.9137516100-4.83
Chesson Hadley750043143.252064.5141004.47
Chris Kirk750042233.625155142100-7.24
Graeme McDowell750032153.16666672578.51410013.76
Joel Dahmen7400---------
Kevin Streelman740075254.07142869104.5110013.97
Steve Stricker740043158.8752570.5710019.08
Chez Reavie730085344.3751579111003.31
Danny Lee730052342.61676.571003.35
Nick Taylor730042237.1251761.524100-2.33
Sam Ryder7300110535353686812.3
Joaquin Niemann7200---------
Nick Watney720077064.64285715089.545922.91
Bud Cauley720042235671.516100-6.58
Sung Kang720043147.252463.5221006.07
Beau Hossler720020222.252123.5100100-18.66
Dylan Frittelli7100---------
Denny McCarthy7100---------
Brian Gay710084433.2586337100-7.67
Roberto Castro7100413271455.521100-11.1
Trey Mullinax710021149257381008.09
Sam Burns7100110818181121240.3
Roger Sloan7000---------
Stewart Cink700096347.27777781673.5111006.51
Charley Hoffman7000853451277111004.25
Brian Harman700062435.91666671965.514100-4.09
Cheng-Tsung Pan700020218.51423100100-22.41
Austin Cook700011057.557.557.5404016.8
Wyndham Clark6900---------
Jason Dufner690098161.833333323.5831010021.06
Rory Sabbatini690086250.62518.58151009.9
Scott Stallings690083536.375131053100-4.37
Hudson Swafford690042239.521.560381000.05
Ryan Armour690021139.752059.540100-1.08
Adam Schenk690011058.558.558.5595917.8
Cameron Davis6800---------
Sean O'Hair680094539.55555565982100-1.22
Harris English68007434716.58071006.9
Patrick Rodgers680031227.1666667125259100-12.24
Vaughn Taylor680030318.51123100100-22.37
Richy Werenski680020217.51421100100-23.41
Carlos Ortiz680022049.54851566811.51
Harold Varner III6700---------
Kyoung-Hoon Lee6700---------
Bill Haas670065157.91666672385.5210017.44
Matt Jones67004132716.547.567100-15.68
Robert Streb670031229.16666671553.551100-10.77
Kelly Kraft670022054.7546.563316513.84
Brendan Steele670021136.2522.55043100-5.37
Danny Willett670011061.561.561.5222225.11
Andrew Landry6600---------
Jose de Jesus Rodriguez6600---------
Adam Svensson6600---------
Anirban Lahiri6600---------
Luke Donald660087163.87522110110023.66
Patton Kizzire660021137.7522.55333100-1.01
Tom Hoge6600202222123100100-16.55
Brandon Harkins660010121.521.521.5100100-19.2
Cameron Tringale650074346.6428571138231005.89
John Huh650073438.142857117.570.59100-1.96
Peter Malnati650030319.666666713.526.5100100-19.74
Scott Langley650033063.16666674884.536324.5
Stephan Jaeger650011053.553.553.5494912.8
J.J. Spaun6500101191919100100-22.12
Dylan Meyer650011046464674745.3
Kevin Tway6500101222222100100-18.7
Martin Trainer6400---------
Sebastian Munoz6400---------
Kramer Hickok6400---------
Brian Stuard640062431.16666671851.538100-8.63
Morgan Hoffmann640042235.3751851.525100-3.51
Peter Uihlein640031233.333333319.55957100-7.22
Brice Garnett640021134.2511.55731100-5.9
Hunter Mahan640022050.54853535611.74
Julian Etulain6300---------
Joey Garber6300---------
Chase Wright6300---------
Scott Brown630073436.642857113.5717100-3.46
Sam Saunders63004314720.563221007.55
Seamus Power630021141.251666.5271000.34
Ryan Blaum6300220615765164120.09
Max Homa630020221.52122100100-17.51
Tyler Duncan6300101171717100100-23.7
Sepp Straka6200---------
Ryan Vermeer6200---------
Jim Knous6200---------
John Senden620084449.312520.59911008.53
Billy Hurley620051428.414.56217100-10.85
Jonas Blixt620053245.318.570.5221006.6
Chris Stroud620041326.515.545.563100-13.64
Grayson Murray6200202282432100100-12.91
Brandon Hagy620011039.539.539.569693.11
Kyle Jones6100---------
Hank Lebioda6100---------
Mackenzie Hughes6100---------
K.J. Choi610085347.312518.59821006.53
Rod Perry610070714.5623.5100100-24.81
D.A. Points61006333818.560.528100-2.69
Freddie Jacobson610042236.375155920100-2.51
Kenny Perry610043149.37512.572.5291006.29
Ted Potter610031237.5226120100-1.54
Seth Reeves6000---------
Satoshi KODAIRA6000---------
Akshay Bhatia6000---------
Alex Cejka60006515223.566.5141009.64
Rod Pampling600053239.222.55241100-2.58
Michael Kim600031227.83333339.55452100-11.57
Jim Herman600031243.518.591.531005
Cody Gribble600010133.533.533.5100100-7.62
Austin Connelly6000101131313100100-23.39

Key Stats

  • Greens in Regulation
  • SG: Off the Tee
  • Driving Accuracy
  • SG: Putting (Bermuda)

By Matt Jones | @twitter.com/mattjonestfr | Archive