Advice

Courtland Sutton is the Next…? The Rookie Comps for the Broncos WR

Broncos wide receiver Courtland Sutton is next up as we take a look at the most comparable players for the 11 best rookie WRs from the 2018 class. After D.J. Moore and Calvin Ridley went in the first round of the 2018 NFL Draft, the Broncos had their pick of the litter and decided on Courtland Sutton 40th overall, ahead of other exciting prospects like Christian Kirk and Anthony Miller. On the face of it, their faith was rewarded as he scored the third-most points among rookie WRs, but it was a finish fueled by volume, and it left owners wanting more.
  • He finished second in rookie targets but fifth in receptions
  • He finished first in air yards but third in yards
  • Among all WRs, his 1,176 air yards were the 21st most in the league, more than Michael Thomas, and yet Sutton’s 704 receiving yards ranked 41st
  • His efficiency mark (reFPOE) of 0.3 was 16th among rookies
PLAYER reRECS.Q1 reTRGS.Q1 reYDS.Q1 reTDS.Q1 reEP.Q1 reFPOE.Q1 PPR.Q1
Calvin Ridley 64 92 821 10 150.5 55.6 208.8
D.J. Moore 55 82 788 2 135.1 10.7 160.2
Courtland Sutton 42 84 704 4 136.1 0.3 136.3
Antonio Callaway 43 81 586 5 136.2 -4.6 132.3
Christian Kirk 43 68 590 3 102.7 17.3 123.5
Anthony Miller 33 54 423 7 93.2 24.1 120.3
Marquez Valdes-Scantling 38 72 581 2 113.2 -5.1 111
Dante Pettis 27 45 467 5 75.2 28.5 103.5
Tre’Quan Smith 28 44 427 5 74.2 26.5 100.7
Robert Foster 26 44 522 3 71.5 24.7 96.2

THE COMPARABLES

Using inputs of target volume, production, efficiency, age, weight, and draft position, I used the RotoViz Screener to come up with the most similar rookie seasons to Sutton’s since 2000.

Subscribe to the best value in fantasy sports

Subscribing is the only way to make sure you don't ever miss an article.

By Cort Smith | @@rotocort | Archive