Advice

Floor and Ceiling Projections and the Jets Franken-RB: Week 15 RB GLSP

Game-Level Similarity Projections (GLSP) use historical matchup, team, player, and Vegas lines to generate situation-agnostic projections. The result is a range of outcomes. The low projection is the 25th-percentile point total from the most similar matchups. The high projection is the 75th-percentile result. The most valuable way to incorporate GLSP into your weekly process is to note the surprises. Surprisingly high and low projections provide the most meaningful signal. Start or fade the outliers. These are the projections from Dave Caban. They’ll be available each week on Wednesdays as part of the Weekly Stat Explorer.

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By Blair Andrews | @AmItheRealBlair | Archive