PGA DFS: RSM Classic
We’re back stateside again this week for the eighth installation of the RSM Classic. It’s a bit of a different week as golfers will play two courses in the same event. The field will head to the Sea Island Resort to play both the Seaside and Plantation courses. They’ll play both courses before the cut and then turn their attention to Seaside for both of the weekend rounds. If you’re curious as to how each course has played historically and want to dive into the stats, check out yesterday’s article.
Today, let’s take a look at who’s going to be popular this week and why. Then, we’ll wrap up with our ownership projections. Keep in mind, that these are updated a few times during the week, so check back Wednesday night for the final run of the model.
CHECKING THE CHALK
From time to time, we have a week where people are hesitant to go all in at the top and trend towards a more balanced approach. My first run through of projections seem like this week may be headed that way. Five of the highest seven owned golfers in my first run all come from the $9,000 range. I would be shocked if that’s actually how it works out but as things stand right now, the following golfers are receiving most of the buzz:
- Kevin Kisner ($9,300)
- C.T. Pan ($9,700)
- Russell Henley ($9,500)
- Zach Johnson ($9,000)
- Luke List ($9,200)
People may have soured on List last week who missed the cut at 14 percent GPP ownership. If people flock towards the $9,000 range, that might make some intriguing higher priced options at lower ownership. Even if that’s true, I’m hard pressed to believe that Webb Simpson ($11,800) or Cameron Champ ($10,900) will see lower ownership regardless of what happens in the $9,000 range.
Ownership in the $8,000 range could be reasonably flat, as well. Joaquin Niemann ($8,900), Harold Varner ($8,800), and Sam Ryder ($8,600) will most likely lead the way there, opening up a few GPP pivots that we’ll get to later. Niemann has made every cut since the second week of June. Varner has had three top-15 finishes and Ryder is fourth in DK points with a couple of top-five finishes during the fall swing so far.
The sub-$8,000 range is shaping up to have a few chalky options as well. Bud Cauley ($7,900) is one of those popular options. He had a top ten finish here last season and seems to be finding some form more recently as well. Cauley’s hit over 70 percent of greens in regulation in each of the past two weeks. Stewart Cink ($7,700), Kramer Hickok ($7,400), and Anders Albertson ($7,300) should soak up some decent ownership as well.
Bronson Burgoon ($7,700) is an interesting option at the same price as a chalky Cink. Gamelog watchers will note that he missed the cut in Las Vegas a couple of weeks ago, but a deeper dive shows some encouraging signs. He couldn’t quite find a rhythm out in the desert, but it was largely due to a stone cold putter. Burgoon hit 75 percent of greens in regulation but needed 62 putts to get through 36 holes.
In the $8,000 range, Whee Kim ($8,400) has made seven straight cuts. He’s hit at least 75 percent of greens in regulation in three of his past four starts. Kim just hasn’t been able to put four rounds together over his past two starts with three rounds in the 60s but one in the 70s that puts him out of contention.
Ownership looks pretty flat up at the top, but Chesson Hadley ($10,100) could go slightly under-owned relative to his ball-striking. Hadley has hit at least 53 greens in regulation in each of the past three events. He’s another guy that has struggled with the putter in spurts, but the safe play is always to bet on ball-striking to continue.
|Cheng Tsung Pan||9700||21.2|
|Charles Howell III||9100||10.2|
|Meen Whee Kim||8400||5.5|
|Ted Potter Jr||6900||6|
|Davis Love III||6600||1.2|
|Tyrone Van Aswegen||6600||0.7|
|Jose De Jesus Rodriguez||6500||1.9|
|Brendon De Jonge||6200||0.6|