PGA

PGA DFS: RSM Classic

We’re back stateside again this week for the eighth installation of the RSM Classic. It’s a bit of a different week as golfers will play two courses in the same event. The field will head to the Sea Island Resort to play both the Seaside and Plantation courses. They’ll play both courses before the cut and then turn their attention to Seaside for both of the weekend rounds. If you’re curious as to how each course has played historically and want to dive into the stats, check out yesterday’s article.

Today, let’s take a look at who’s going to be popular this week and why. Then, we’ll wrap up with our ownership projections. Keep in mind, that these are updated a few times during the week, so check back Wednesday night for the final run of the model.

CHECKING THE CHALK

From time to time, we have a week where people are hesitant to go all in at the top and trend towards a more balanced approach. My first run through of projections seem like this week may be headed that way. Five of the highest seven owned golfers in my first run all come from the $9,000 range. I would be shocked if that’s actually how it works out but as things stand right now, the following golfers are receiving most of the buzz:

  • Kevin Kisner ($9,300)
  • C.T. Pan ($9,700)
  • Russell Henley ($9,500)
  • Zach Johnson ($9,000)
  • Luke List ($9,200)

People may have soured on List last week who missed the cut at 14 percent GPP ownership. If people flock towards the $9,000 range, that might make some intriguing higher priced options at lower ownership. Even if that’s true, I’m hard pressed to believe that Webb Simpson ($11,800) or Cameron Champ ($10,900) will see lower ownership regardless of what happens in the $9,000 range.

Ownership in the $8,000 range could be reasonably flat, as well. Joaquin Niemann ($8,900), Harold Varner ($8,800), and Sam Ryder ($8,600) will most likely lead the way there, opening up a few GPP pivots that we’ll get to later. Niemann has made every cut since the second week of June. Varner has had three top-15 finishes and Ryder is fourth in DK points with a couple of top-five finishes during the fall swing so far.

The sub-$8,000 range is shaping up to have a few chalky options as well. Bud Cauley ($7,900) is one of those popular options. He had a top ten finish here last season and seems to be finding some form more recently as well. Cauley’s hit over 70 percent of greens in regulation in each of the past two weeks. Stewart Cink ($7,700), Kramer Hickok ($7,400), and Anders Albertson ($7,300) should soak up some decent ownership as well.

GPP PIVOTS

Bronson Burgoon ($7,700) is an interesting option at the same price as a chalky Cink. Gamelog watchers will note that he missed the cut in Las Vegas a couple of weeks ago, but a deeper dive shows some encouraging signs. He couldn’t quite find a rhythm out in the desert, but it was largely due to a stone cold putter. Burgoon hit 75 percent of greens in regulation but needed 62 putts to get through 36 holes.

In the $8,000 range, Whee Kim ($8,400) has made seven straight cuts. He’s hit at least 75 percent of greens in regulation in three of his past four starts. Kim just hasn’t been able to put four rounds together over his past two starts with three rounds in the 60s but one in the 70s that puts him out of contention.

Ownership looks pretty flat up at the top, but Chesson Hadley ($10,100) could go slightly under-owned relative to his ball-striking. Hadley has hit at least 53 greens in regulation in each of the past three events. He’s another guy that has struggled with the putter in spurts, but the safe play is always to bet on ball-striking to continue.

OWNERSHIP PROJECTIONS

NameDK$Projection
Webb Simpson1180017.4
Cameron Champ1090014.1
J.J. Spaun1040011.5
Chesson Hadley1010010.5
Lucas Glover990015.9
Cheng Tsung Pan970021.2
Russell Henley950015.2
Austin Cook940011.1
Kevin Kisner930020.7
Luke List920011.8
Charles Howell III910010.2
Zach Johnson900011.9
Joaquin Niemann890013.2
Harold Varner880010.2
Denny McCarthy87005
Sam Ryder860016.2
Chris Kirk85009.9
Meen Whee Kim84005.5
Peter Uihlein83007.9
Jim Furyk820011.4
Jamie Lovemark81006.8
Sung-Jae Im800010.9
Brian Harman80008.7
Bud Cauley790014.1
Patrick Rodgers79004.6
Richy Werenski78007.2
Bill Haas78005.7
Stewart Cink770016.8
Bronson Burgoon77005.9
Brice Garnett76005.4
Michael Thompson76005.5
Padraig Harrington76002.5
Keith Mitchell750011.4
Brian Gay75008.8
Ryan Armour75007.7
Benjamin Silverman75006.8
Kramer Hickok740012.1
Nate Lashley74006.6
Nick Watney74005.2
Patton Kizzire74004.9
Adam Schenk74001.8
Anders Albertson730012.2
Talor Gooch73002.1
Roberto Castro73001.9
Scott Stallings73001.4
Aaron Baddeley73001.2
Jason Dufner720010.3
Andrew Landry72004.7
Sam Burns72003.1
Robert Streb72002.1
Nicholas Lindheim72001.6
David Hearn72001.5
Seth Reeves71004.2
Vaughn Taylor71003.9
Ollie Schniederjans71003.7
Kelly Kraft71003.4
Johnson Wagner71001.5
Matt Every71001.3
Henrik Norlander70004.1
Kevin Streelman70003.4
Hudson Swafford70002.2
Sung-Hoon Kang70002
Shawn Stefani70001.2
Graeme McDowell70001.2
Chad Campbell70001.1
Ted Potter Jr69006
Joel Dahmen69006.9
Corey Conners69005.9
Troy Merritt69002.2
JT Poston69002
Robert Garrigus69002.2
Ryan Blaum69001.5
Tom Hoge69001.3
Stephan Jaeger68005.4
Harris English68002.7
Brandon Harkins68001.8
Carlos Ortiz68001.7
Sean O'Hair68001.6
David Lingmerth68001.5
Mackenzie Hughes68001.4
Cameron Tringale68000.8
Peter Malnati67001.8
Sepp Straka67001.6
Alex Prugh67001.3
Matt Jones67001.1
Wyndham Clark67000.9
Ben Martin67000.9
Ben Crane67000.9
Wes Roach67000.8
Jonas Blixt66002.7
Trey Mullinax66001.8
Scott Langley66001.7
Davis Love III66001.2
Chase Wright66000.9
Sang-Moon Bae66000.8
Tyrone Van Aswegen66000.7
Fabian Gomez66000.7
Tom Lovelady65001.9
Jose De Jesus Rodriguez65001.9
Dominic Bozzelli65001.4
Alex Cejka65001.1
Scott Brown65001
Brian Stuard65000.9
Michael Kim65000.9
Ricky Barnes65000.7
Ernie Els65000.6
Hunter Mahan64001.5
Andres Romero64001.3
Jonathan Byrd64001.2
Kyoung-Hoon Lee64000.8
Retief Goosen64000.8
Julian Etulain64000.8
Curtis Luck64000.8
D.A. Points64000.8
Jim Knous64000.8
Sebastian Munoz63001.6
Jon Curran63001.3
J.J. Henry63001.1
Sam Saunders63001.1
Seamus Power63000.8
Martin Trainer63000.8
Martin Piller63000.8
Roger Sloan63000.8
Derek Fathauer63000.8
John Huh62001.9
Adam Svensson62001.5
Adam Long62000.8
Josh Teater62000.7
Max Homa62000.6
Jim Herman62000.6
Tommy Gainey62000.6
Brendon De Jonge62000.6
Eric Axley62000.6
Tyler Duncan61001.5
Chris Thompson61000.7
Brady Schnell61000.7
Joey Garber61000.7
Tim Herron61000.6
Cody Gribble61000.6
Jason Gore61000.6
John Chin61000.6
Dru Love61000.5
Wesley Bryan60001.2
Will MacKenzie60001
Kyle Jones60000.7
Lee Hodges60000.6
Henry Lebioda60000.6
Peter Jones60000.6
Garrett Barber60000.6
Ben Griffin60000.6
Fredrik Jacobson60000.6
Chad Collins60000.6

By Matt Jones | @twitter.com/mattjonestfr | Archive