DFS (Daily Fantasy Sports)

DK Buffet Week 9: Key Stats and Matchups for the Main Slate

When I’m looking into the DFS slate each week, I like to go game by game and identify players or situations that intrigue me. In every game, on every team, there’s a situation that’s relevant for DFS purposes, either positive or negative reason. It informs us of how we should be attacking each slate.

Atlanta Falcons

This is it. This is the week that Quintorris Lopez “Julio” Jones ($7,900) finds the end zone. Our very own Michael Dubner wrote a piece in May about predicting touchdowns. Based on his volume, Julio has a 5.4 TD expectation to this point in the season. There are only three other receivers in the league who are even two touchdowns below expectation. Julio is more than 5 TDs below his expectation. Six of the Falcons’ seven games have seen Julio earn over 100 air yards. He’s first in yards per game, WOPR, air yards, and 3rd in targets among wide receivers. julio

Baltimore Ravens

Michael Crabtree ($4,800) dropped a bit with just a handful of targets last Sunday. Leading into that game, he had seen at least nine targets in each of the previous three weeks. John Brown ($5,800) recovered from his disappearing act against the Titans and has seen seven targets in each of the past two games. Brown is seeing the third most air yards per game of any wide receiver in the league on the 27th most targets. The points allowed to WRs don’t look great in this matchup against Pittsburgh but then you look through some of the spike games they’ve given up and you feel better. The Steelers have given up four 20-plus point games, including one to John Brown already this season. Both Baltimore and Pittsburgh run plays at an above average pace, which is good for everyone. brown

Buffalo Bills

The Bills are hosting the Bears this weekend as 8.5-point home underdogs with an implied team total of 14 points. Nathan Peterman is expected to start. I don’t think there’s a player in a Buffalo uniform that I’d consider playing.

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By Matt Jones | @twitter.com/mattjonestfr | Archive