Advice

Week 6 QB Rankings and Streaming Options

QB rankings and streaming advice for Week 6 of the 2018 fantasy football season.

Week 5 featured Baker Mayfield earning his first win as the Browns’ starting quarterback, Patrick Mahomes becoming just the second player with 300-plus yards passing versus the Jags in the last two seasons, and the Steelers/Falcons matchup proving to be the highly anticipated shootout that wasn’t — with the Steelers winning 41-17.

My week featured much of the same, highly anticipated matchups not playing out the way I thought they would. The Blake Bortles rollercoaster continued to rise and fall, as he was picked off four times but still managed to throw for over 400 yards, giving fantasy owners a solid 20.6 fantasy finish. Forgetting Bortles, this was easily my worst week to date. Though Ryan Tannehill did have a better performance than last week’s zero fantasy points, he was only a little bit better; and Marcus Mariota was somehow worse than Tannehill.

Pick QB ESPN Points QB Rank
TwoQB Blake Bortles 20.6 11
Streamer Marcus Mariota 4.2 31
Bounceback Ryan Tannehill 7.1 30

Not a single quarterback posted 30+ points in Week 5. So while my picks were ranked low, at least the point differential from the better performers wasn’t as bad as it could have been.1 Onto Week 6 and with more data to analyze, our rankings are taking shape and pointing to some interesting waiver wire picks.2

Week 6 Quarterback Rankings

Quarterback Matchup Ranking
Matt Ryan vs Tampa Bay 1
Patrick Mahomes at New England 2
Aaron Rodgers vs San Francisco 3
Andy Dalton vs Pittsburgh 4
Cam Newton at Washington 5
Kirk Cousins vs Arizona 6
Tom Brady vs Kansas City 7
Ben Roethlisberger at Cincinatti 8
Deshaun Watson vs Buffalo 9
Philip Rivers at Cleveland 10
Jared Goff at Denver 11
Andrew Luck at NY Jets 12
Russell Wilson vs Oakland 13
CJ Beathard at Green Bay 14
Alex Smith vs Carolina 15
Mitchell Trubisky at Miami 16
Carson Wentz at NY Giants 17
Baker Mayfield vs LA Chargers 18
Derek Carr vs Seattle 19
Jameis Winston at Atlanta 20
Joe Flacco at Tennessee 21
Sam Darnold vs Indianapolis 23
Blake Bortles at Dallas 22
Ryan Tannehill vs Chicago 24
Eli Manning vs Philadelphia 25
Dak Prescott vs Jacksonville 26
Marcus Mariota vs Baltimore 27
Case Keenum vs LA Rams 28
Josh Allen at Houston 29
Josh Rosen at Minnesota 30

TwoQB Pick of the Week – C.J. Beathard at Green Bay

Projected: 14.5
Ownership: 3.1%
GSLP: 14.2

It is a little too soon to get overly enthusiastic about C.J. Beathard, especially given his six turnovers in his first two starts. But it can’t be overlooked that Beathard has quietly put up more points in that time frame than Matthew Stafford, Russell Wilson, and Andy Dalton. And because the 49ers are often playing from behind, Beathard is frequently looking down the field, or at least checking down to his running backs to pick up some easy chunk yards.

Meanwhile, the Packers are giving up an average 21.6 points per game – and that’s including the shutout of the Bills. Despite Beathard’s turnovers, he’s thrown for 647 yards and four touchdowns in his two starts making him a viable QB2 in 2QB and superflex leagues. While there’s been talk that Packers defense is the streaming pick of the week, I find this to be a situation where both the defense and opposing quarterback can be productive.

Favorite Streamer – Jameis Winston at Atlanta

Projected: 19.2
Ownership: 12.7%
GSLP: 17.4

Last season, Winston averaged just 15.5 fantasy points per game in what fantasy owners expected to be one of the most explosive offenses in the league. And it turns out, it was — but only once Ryan Fitzpatrick was under center this season. That is, until Fitzmagic fizzled out and Winston took over in the second half of Week 4 after returning from a three-week suspension.

And while it remains to be seen if he could become a full-time fantasy quarterback, and the Bucs franchise quarterback, Winston does have an ideal match up to position himself for a bounce back in Week 6. The Falcons defense is plagued by injuries and is allowing an average 35 points per game this season. Winston is a high-upside play in all formats with potential to go from streamer to QB1.

“Bounceback Candidate” – Andy Dalton vs Steelers

Projected: 19.1
Ownership: 56.5%
GSLP: 21.5

Andy Dalton has quietly become a reliable borderline QB1 the last few seasons. He is still prone to throwing up duds, but this season’s Bengals team seems to be on their way with Dalton under center. From a fantasy perspective, he is consistently inconsistent on a weekly basis and very matchup dependent. In Week 5, though Dalton and the Bengals came back from a 17-0 deficit against the Dolphins to put up 27 unanswered points and secure a win, fantasy owners did not reap the same benefits. Dalton had a solitary touchdown and less than 250 passing yards for 12 fantasy points.

This week however, you’ll note that Dalton is fourth in my rankings. The Steelers have allowed the 10th-most points per drive since Week 2 and the third-most fantasy points to quarterbacks. With the Steelers high-powered offense, Dalton will need to rely heavily on the passing game to stay in the game. This is an ideal matchup for Dalton to bounce back from a fantasy perspective in what should be a shoot-out, if Dalton can keep up.

  1. It makes me feel better, okay?  (back)
  2. Ownership and projected are referenced from ESPN Fantasy. Rankings based on GSLP, FPPG and matchup. GSLP models were run three times — looking five weeks back, four weeks back and three weeks back and averaging results. It is important to note that certain quarterbacks, like Jameis Winston, who have not played in three or more games are likely projected too high and can be considered as outliers.  (back)
By Giana Pacinelli | @GIANAAAA | Archive