Advice

Patrick Mahomes Lays an Egg and More Week 5 Bold Predictions

It’s time for another season of bad bets based in good process, better known as Bold Predictions. In this series, we’ll look at weekly matchups, using history as a contextual backdrop – as well as in-season trends – in order to unearth unexpected events that have a chance at coming true. After two weeks of multiple close calls, I’m starting to feel a little snake bit. We really should have one by now. A quick recap of Week 4:
  • This is becoming absurd. Despite piling up 173 yards, Julio Jones still couldn’t find the end zone. He now has just two TDs in his last 20 games, and four in his last 28. Rookie team mate Calvin Ridley has six TDs over his last three.
  • Antonio Callaway is getting flack for some drops, but this played out exactly as expected. Baker Mayfield again took multiple shots downfield, missing an open Callaway for a 60-yard TD bomb on one (not a drop). On his lone long gain, Callaway was pushed out of bounds at the two-yard line. He was eighth in Air Yards this week, and those plays would have made him a WR1, as predicted.
  • We called Phillip Lindsay to outscore Kareem Hunt on Monday Night Football, and the rookie did pull ahead with a 4th quarter TD. But Hunt found the end zone himself shortly after, turning this pick into a pumpkin like all the others.
Let’s get on the board this week with something special from the Steelers and Falcons and an outlier from the league’s hottest quarterback.

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By Cort Smith | @@rotocort | Archive