The Buy Low Report: Robinson on the Rise

Trading is one of the most enjoyable and difficult aspects of fantasy football. The Buy Low Report is here to help. Every Wednesday, this article will identify and analyze players who are ideal targets as well as players who are strong sell candidates. The primary methodology for buying and selling players in fantasy football comes down to volume.1 Expect “buy volume, sell efficiency” to be a tenant of this column. Where efficiency does play a key role in player valuation is that prolific efficiency can spur higher usage in the right situations – think of the career trajectories for players like Kareem Hunt, Alvin Kamara, or DeAndre Hopkins. Identifying circumstances where a player’s productivity gives him a shot at greater volume in the near future is a key aspect of playing the trade market. The players discussed will predominantly be ones that are highly owned, as unowned players fall into the pickup market instead of the trade market.2

Buy Low

Allen Robinson

Robinson is a popular buy low candidate this week and for good reason. Robinson has soaked up a whopping 54 percent of his team’s air yards – the second highest rate in the league – but has only turned those air yards into 28.4 PPR points.
  1. It has been proven ad nauseam that volume not only drives fantasy success, but that volume is also the most predictable piece of a player’s valuation. A player’s efficiency is mercurial relative to his volume and without a proven track record efficiency should be downplayed. I choose to look at efficiency as a binary entity when buying and selling in fantasy football: Can a player perform at an adequate enough level such that his volume will translate to the box score?  (back)
  2. Check out the Weekly Waiver Report for intel on the best pickups every week and combine that knowledge with trade tips from this series to become the ultimate in-season owner.  (back)

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