Advice

Game Level Similarity Projections : Wide Receivers Week 1

Welcome to the first edition of the 2018 Game Level Similarity Projections (GLSP) for wide receivers! This will be a weekly column designed to help you set your season-long lineups and even identify DFS standouts. GLSP uses historical matchup, team, player, and Vegas data to generate situation-agnostic projections. The low projection is equivalent to the 25th percentile point total from the comparable matchups. The median projection provides a benchmark, with even odds of the player producing more or less. The high projection is equivalent to the 75th percentile point total from the comparable matchups. Remember, GLSP should not be used to decide which player is optimal between two that have a small projection difference. The most valuable way to incorporate GLSP into your lineup setting process is to identify surprisingly high and low projections.

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