DFS (Daily Fantasy Sports)

Are Free Squares Worth It? The Effectiveness of Low-Priced RBs in DFS – The Wrong Read, No. 50

Welcome to the 50th installment of the The Wrong Read. Week 3 brings with it a number of running back injuries, which opens up opportunity for some backups to have large roles. Because of the timing of this news, DFS salaries have not yet caught up with the expanded roles, opening up “free squares” on DFS rosters. But do these so-called free squares tend to pay off? There are — depending on who you ask — between one and three RBs on this week’s slate who are projected to have roles much larger than what their salary would indicate.1 As such, they are also projected to be used on a much higher percentage of DFS rosters than one would normally expect. Fading chalk is sometimes a good strategy, but sometimes players are chalky for a reason. Is this sort of chalk worth playing, even considering the higher-than-normal ownership? And if you don’t play one or more of these free squares, are your lineups in trouble?
  1. Corey Clement is the clear candidate at only $4300. Latavius Murray and Giovani Bernard are debatable at $5800 and $5900 respectively — the discount on Murray and Bernard is not as great considering you can pay just $200 more at the most and move up to Kareem Hunt. All three are projected for more than 12 percent ownership.  (back)

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By Blair Andrews | @AmItheRealBlair | Archive