Advice

The Fourth Round Pick That Can Help You Win Your League

Throughout the offseason, RotoViz writers will be sharing with you our favorite picks in each round of fantasy drafts. I’ll kick it off here by taking a closer look at my favorite pick in the fourth round. When constructing your rosters, you always want to include players with league-winning upside — guys that can significantly outperform their ADP. When you’re drafting in the fourth round, that means players that have a chance to be elite, and finish in the top-12 in their positions. One of the prerequisites for a top-12 season for a wide receiver is a high volume of targets. Over the past three years, top-12 WRs have averaged 149 targets with a median of 151 targets. Four of the 36 players have accomplished the feat with fewer than 120 targets, but those seasons have also generally been in the bottom of the WR1 range.1
PLAYERSEASRECSTRGSYDSPPR
Julio Jones20151362031871371.1
Antonio Brown20151361931841382.9
DeAndre Hopkins20151111921521329.1
Demaryius Thomas20151051771304271.4
DeAndre Hopkins2017961741378311.8
Brandon Marshall20151091731502343.2
Mike Evans2016961711321300.1
Odell Beckham Jr.20161011691367298.6
Jarvis Landry20151111671159268.45
Antonio Brown20171011621533308.3
Jarvis Landry2017112161987264
Larry Fitzgerald20171091611156261.65
Keenan Allen20171021591393278.2
Odell Beckham Jr.2015961581454319.7
Ty Hilton2016911551448271.8
Antonio Brown20161061541284307.3
Jordy Nelson2016971521257306.7
Larry Fitzgerald20161081511028246.9
Allen Robinson2015801511400304
Michael Thomas20171041491245258.5
Calvin Johnson2015881491214263.4
Julio Jones2017881481444251.9
Larry Fitzgerald20151091461215284.5
Michael Crabtree2016891451003237.3
Adam Thielen2017911431277243.8
A.J. Green2017751431075230.5
A.J. Green2015861321297275.7
Julio Jones2016831291409259.9
Doug Baldwin2016941251128253.75
Michael Thomas2016921211137259.7
Davante Adams201675121997246.7
Golden Tate2017921201003224.5
Brandin Cooks2016781171173246.3
Marvin Jones2017611071101225.1
Tyreek Hill2017751051183239.2
Doug Baldwin2015781031069268.9
Thanks to the early rush on running backs, the fourth round is littered with WRs who have a good shot to eclipse 120 targets and have a chance at ending up among the top-12 WRs. Fourth Round WRs
  1. Doug Baldwin’s insane 269 points on just 103 targets in 2015 is a major outlier.  (back)

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By John Lapinski | @http://twitter.com/FF_SkiBall | Archive

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