Pythagorean Wins: Who Got Lucky in 2017
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With the recent release of the NFL Schedule, now is a good time to calibrate our expectations for 2018. One of the best ways to establish baseline expectations this season is by utilizing Pythagorean wins. Pythagorean wins are used to determine the number of games a team “should have won” based on their scoring margin. Utilizing the method laid out by RotoDoc, I’m going to look at which teams won more and less than expected in an attempt to find regression candidates and evaluate what that means for fantasy purposes.