It’s Time to Buy Kenny Stills

The Cleveland Browns front office broke the internet on Friday with a flurry of trades that resulted in the acquisitions of wide receiver Jarvis Landry and quarterback Tyrod Taylor. The fallout resulted in former Browns second-round pick Deshone Kizer being traded to the Green Bay Packers for cornerback Damarious Randall. The teams also swapped picks. The focus  has been on the Browns, but what about the Dolphins? I know what you are thinking — DeVante Parker is in a prime position to finally have his fantasy breakout in 2018. But Kenny Stills is the likely to the cheaper – and better – Dolphins WR to own this season.

Outperforming Parker

Parker was highly touted coming out of Louisville and one of the top WR prospects heading into the 2015 NFL Draft. In his three-year career, those lofty expectations have not been met. Parker finds himself about to head into his fourth season in the NFL with a fifth-year option on the horizon. He’s been unable to replicate the breakouts tall WRs like Alshon Jeffery and Brandon Marshall. Stills, on the other hand, was drafted in the 2013 fifth round out of Oklahoma. He played the 2013 and 2014 seasons with the New Orleans Saint before joining the Dolphins in 2015. Since then, Stills has outperformed Parker in multiple areas including receiving fantasy points over expectation. Kenny Stills vs Devante ParkerStills also has the advantage in air yards, a metric that refers to the total distance that a football is thrown beyond the line of scrimmage to the point of reception. It also allows you to better understand how Parker and Stills produced their receiving yards.
SeasonPlayer NameTeamAir YardsPPR Fantasy Points
2017Kenny StillsDolphins1,574178.7
2017DeVante ParkerDolphins1,206130
2016Kenny StillsDolphins1,161168.6
2016DeVante ParkerDolphins1,047154.4
2015Kenny StillsDolphins1,05089
2015DeVante ParkerDolphins69293.4
Stills has finished with more PPR fantasy points than Parker in two out of the last three seasons. The one season where Parker finished with more fantasy points the difference was only 4.4. This is substantial considering their average draft position over this time.

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By Eric Moody | @EricNMoody | Archive