Understanding Win Rates: The Picks that Won MFL10s in 2017
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The following looks at the win rates1 of players drafted in close to 5,000 MFL10 best-ball leagues in 2017.2 This analysis follows the same format used in last year’s win-rate article. It is worth repeating why I like the win-rate statistic so much: it distills the combination of player performance and draft cost into a single number. While roster construction matters, there is no substitute for picking good players at great prices. This data is an important reference for me as I develop my draft strategy for 2018. Here are some of my observations.
- Win rate is a ratio defined by the number of times a player was on a first place roster divided by the total number of times that player was drafted. This analysis encompasses players drafted in at least 500 MFL10, MFL25, MFL50 or MFL100 leagues. (back)
- “2X,” or double-up, leagues have been excluded. (back)