DFS (Daily Fantasy Sports)

DraftKings Wild Card Weekend Strategy and Plays

Pat James delves into strategy, cash game plays, and GPP pivots for Wild Card Weekend.

DraftKings Wild Card Round Cash Game Plays

Quarterback

Alex Smith ($6,300)

Boxes Checked: team implied total, home favorite, matchup, rushing upside, funnel defense Alex Smith gets the best matchup for the best price against a Titans defense that ranks 24th in pass DVOA. The Titans also come in as a “funnel defense,” ranking seventh in rush DVOA. Despite Kareem Hunt’s increased role the last few weeks, the Chiefs main advantage will be through the air. In fact, the Titans rank dead last in defending running backs catching passes, so rostering Smith could get you exposure to Hunt’s production as well. Smith adds the ability to tack on a few fantasy points with his legs as he averages just under four rushing fantasy points per game. In a home game where they are a touchdown favorite, the Chiefs should have their way offensively with the Titans. The Chiefs have the second-highest implied total on the slate against a Titans team that may have shot their shot beating the Jaguars last week.

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By Pat James | @ | Archive

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  1. Dennis says:

    I'm in one of those survivor fantasy pools.

    1 player from each team, 0.5ppr.
    16 entrants.
    as teams lose, u lose the player. I can enter twice and probably will.

    2 qbs
    3rbs
    3wrs
    2 TEs
    1d
    1k

    Im leaning towards going the two QBs i think r most likely to give me 3 games: Brady and Case. (shout outs to Brees who could face the CAR and PHI. a great shot at 3 games ill prob go him and Brady in my 2nd entry )
    RB: Bell, Gurley, Fournette
    WR: Thomas, Funchess, Julio
    TE: KElce, Ertz
    k: Succup
    D: Bills

    what changes might you make if any? Would you tend towards more contrarian? Last year the entire league picked guys like Bell and Elliot and Brady and I did well pivoting off Jimmy Graham to Baldwin and to A. Rodgers. i feel like picking between Hunt, Kelce, Tyreek will be key.
    i know theres gonna be a TON of similar lineups and last year for me it came down to the Texans D outscoring Lamar miller over 2 games cost me 1st by a few pts.
    @devinmci @FF_Contrarian @hrr5010

  2. Don't know till the contest goes live. It's PPR and the format is as follows:

    QB
    QB
    WR
    WR
    RB
    RB
    TE
    TE
    K
    K
    DEF
    DEF

    only 1 player per team. But the format for me is a bit more forgiving than yours.

  3. @JollyG804 I wouldn't worry excessively about being contrarian with only 16 entrants.

    One pivot I would consider is Brady to Gronk. Gronk has scored a TD in 5 straight playoff games.

    Kamara will be popular, and Brees would give you a shot at 4 games from the highest scoring position.

    If you don't go Gronk, I would probably try to pick my two TEs from the two wild card teams you are picking to lose. Because neither Hooper or Hibgee/Everett are that attractive, you could swap Succop for Delanie and take Matt Bryant.

  4. Those all look like good teams and good advice from @devinmci and @hrr5010. (I probably prefer Julio to Alshon, as I think the Falcons have a similar chance for more than 1 game.) Not sure when lineups lock, but I also like the second team with a Brees swap (but for Diggs!).

  5. Dennis says:

    thanks guys (@devinmci @hrr5010 @FF_Contrarian) ...i was able to take down 1st and 3rd (entered twice) here based on your tips. people went really heavy on 1 and done QBs like alex and cam. Diggs was huge for me. brady went lower owned than anticipated, brees, keenum also.
    winning lineup was:
    brady brees
    gurleyfournettebell
    tyreke julio diggs
    olsen walker
    elliot
    bills
    and the 3rd place was:
    brady keenum
    gurley fournette bell
    tyreke alshon thomas
    walker, olsen
    m. bryant
    bills
    thanks for the help!

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